Outlook for 2012: Global Interest Rate Hurricane – What Next?
by Richard Olsen at Olsen Investment
In 2011, interest rate markets for Greek government bonds bolted and interest rates skyrocketed raising the specter of a sovereign debt crisis for the whole of Europe. Overall, interest rates around the world have remained at record lows thanks to the maneuvering of central banks; 10-year US treasuries for example pay less than 2 percent.
Investors are increasingly impatient and there is a rapidly growing demand for equity capital that has to be pumped into the economy to salvage balance sheets. Governments and central banks are already fully leveraged and do not have sufficient resources to keep interest rates low indefinitely. Fixed income markets around the world will unravel; this will send shock waves across the global economy.