Ichimoku Trade Setups - AUDUSD Kijun Sen Support, More Upside? July 25th

AUDUSD
After posting a strong 3 day pullback, the Aussie found strong support at the kijun sen support forming an outside bar in the process.  This also coincided with a short term channel support which has now played out 3x on both ends.  Although the Kijun is currently flat, it held price and combined with the tenkan climbing, I am expecting more upside.

The chikou though rejected off the Span B and is still having trouble making headway which leaves me to believe upside will be seriously challenged around 1.0450 - 1.0500.  Bears can look for price action triggers around here to possibly sell if the pair shows weakness on approach.  Bulls meanwhile can look for intraday longs around 1.0200 targeting 1.0300 and 1.0450.

ichimoku kijun support chikou rejection 2ndskiesforex.com july 25th

For those wanting to learn how to trade the Ichimoku Cloud, along with lifetime access to the Ichimoku traders forum, using rule-based systems, make sure to check out my Advanced Ichimoku Course.

 

Global Market Commentary:
Spain is getting closer to asking for a full bailout as the regions' insolvency becomes evermore apparent.  Regardless, a short squeeze seems to be in play on the EURUSD and majors which is not surprising considering it has been bruised heavily as of late.  This combined with stronger ECB measures and whispers of Central Bank involvement (read easing) coming soon to a market near you, and markets gained some lost ground.

Regardless, New Home Sales in the US missed by the most in 20mos coming in at -8.4% reminding us there are hot potatoes and disasters looming in every major economy, and it only takes one ball to drop for us to be sellers.

The DOW gained 58pts while Gold closed at $1608.  If easing is in the pipeline, expect Gold to gain heavily on this so what we could be seeing is accumulation ahead of the next round of easing.

Upcoming Economic Events:

EUR German GfK Consumer Confidence Survey 06.00GMT 02.00EST
USD Durable Goods Orders 12.30GMT 08.30EST
USD Pending Home Sales (YoY) 14.00GMT 10.00EST

 

Make sure to read my newest article 2 Key Clues to Understanding Support and Resistance 

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Tags: 2ndskiesforex.com, action, bar, capre, chikou, chris, course, ichimoku, kijun, outside, More…price, sen

Comment by Pipomatic on July 26, 2012 at 9:26am

I have shooting star / pin bar on 4h right now, right below the weekly CP and resistance in the cloud ..

Comment by 2ndSkiesForex on July 26, 2012 at 1:36pm
Hello Pipomatic,

How did your trade work out? Hopefully you cut the losses short but there is a potential short forming in the near future.

Kind Regards,
Chris
Comment by Pipomatic on July 26, 2012 at 1:40pm

I didn't trade AudUsd today .. I made a short EU closed half +20 and half +1 and then reversed the trade to long closed at +70.

The rally was all about the Draghi speach .. I still think that on the technical part the analysis was correct ;) for the AudUsd pair ..

Comment by 2ndSkiesForex on July 26, 2012 at 1:50pm
Well, if the short analysis you had was correct on the aud pair, it would have worked out. Only the market proves an analysis right or wrong.

There were already elements i noted which suggested more upside. Draghi just enhanced the existing short squeeze.

But at least you reversed and made some profit on eu so well done.

Kind Regards,
Chris

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