As shown on the daily chart posted below, the pair trades now around critical levels, a trend continuation - of the bullish breakout 1.2392 - around 1.2815/1.2870 levels is suggested, %R indicator is in oversold area, a daily closing out of oversold area with stability above 1.2815 would give us strong bullish signal on medium term ,It would increase the risk toward 1.3212 forming a newer high, then we need to evaluate pairs activities around that level If manage to reach it !!!
If this scenario happens , selling the pair around 1.3200 is recommended with tight stop , or buying the pair with a daily closing above 1.3212 targeting 1.3500 !!!!
But in return , a clear break with a daily closing below 1.2815 would increase the risk toward 1.2392 where the bullish breakout happened at the beginning of Aug 2012 !!!
On the 4 hour chart, the pair is completely under pressure , losing 1.2815 might bring massive bearish move but in return , a clear break above the sloping resistance with stability above 1.2815 would increase the risk toward 1.2970/1.3000/1.3050 .....
Keep in mind that RSI suggests a bullish correction toward 1.2870/1.2900 before testing 1.2800 levels ..
Conclusion : I'd like waiting for Williams to move out oversold area with daily closing above 1.2815 followed by a break of the sloping resistance line on 4 hour , my target would be around 1.3212 levels...or If you are intra day trader, keep buying at support !!!
Below 1.2815 I might sell the pair but with cautious, or I'm gonna wait for a weekly close at least below 1.2815 !!!!
Best Regards
Haitham653
Comment by Haitham653 on September 27, 2012 at 9:53am As I said yesterday, according to 4 hour chart, the pair is under pressure , the pair's already tested 1.2870/1.2900 levels as RSI suggested on 4 hour, now the way is open toward 1.2800 maybe below BUT...
According to daily and weekly chart, the level 1.2815 is supposed to contain downside and finish the pull back from 1.3171 !!
%R indicator on daily should move out of oversold area with stability above 1.2815 to contain downside and finish pullback !!!
If this scenario happens , immediate resistance is seen around 1.3052 followed by 1.3212 !!
But in return ,a weekly close below 1.2815 might confirm the top at 1.3171 and it would increase the risk toward 1.2392 !!!
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