As shown on the chart posted below , the pair trapped between 38.2% retracement (1.2745) and 23.6% retracement (1.2570) of the rally (1.3485/1.2287)....

Yesterday, we had a break below the inner trend line as shown on the chart around 1.2620 , today the pair is testing the same point , williams and bollinger bands suggest - possible gains - toward 1.2680 area before the next fall, a clear break above 1.2680 may pass 1.2745 easily towards 1.2900 levels !!!! but in return RSI suggests that bulls are running out of GAS , an hourly close below 1.2557 would lead for massive bearish towards the main support 1.2440.....losing the last one would bring another bearish move toward 1.2287 area...

Recommendations : Selling the pair with an hourly closing below 1.2557 targeting 1.2485 & 1.2440 , stop loss at 1.2620...

Best Regards

Tuesday 19 June 2012  12:47 PM

Views: 1660

Tags: EUR/USD, EURUSD

Comment by Ossbwy on June 19, 2012 at 2:22pm

hi haitham653 Good to see you today post it is nice post's today. so news is about QE so do you think trend will go to 1.2680 or 1.2725. or 50.0% retracement (1.2652) is bullish breakout.

Comment by Haitham653 on June 19, 2012 at 2:52pm

Hello Ossbwy..

We're around 1.2670 , we have strong resistance here, breaking of 1.2670/80 area may test 1.2750 once again....

Comment by Predrag on June 19, 2012 at 5:55pm

Do you recommand to sell at 1.2750 area?

Comment by Haitham653 on June 19, 2012 at 6:23pm

There's a risk for testing 1.2900 levels before going down again....

Anyway , as long as the pair is trapped between 1.2557/1.2750 , the trend is sideways so both sides are suggested !!!!

Comment by Haitham653 on June 20, 2012 at 4:30am

Wide range moves are suggested between 1.2750/1.2550 before falling toward 1.2440 levels...but remember a daily close above 1.2750 would increase the risk toward 1.2900/1.3000 levels...

Comment by Haitham653 on June 20, 2012 at 5:34am

The pair is hovering now around 1.2670 , stability above this level may test 1.2700/1.2750 zone the next few hours, a clear break below 1.2670 would test 1.2630 where we have also strong support , losing this one would open up ways toward 1.2550 area.....

Comment by Ossbwy on June 20, 2012 at 7:35am

hi haitham653 so what do think at a moment, EUR/USD is 1.2680 (-0.06%) it is break now i would test 1.2630 or 1.2594 first support.

Comment by Ossbwy on June 20, 2012 at 7:38am

sorry typing mistake, it is not "now i would test" right sentence is " now it would test".

Comment by Haitham653 on June 20, 2012 at 11:34am

(Breakout Strategy):

Buy EURUSD at 1.2750 , stop loss 1.2710 , take profit 1.2870...

Breakeven at 40+..

Regards.....

Comment by Haitham653 on June 20, 2012 at 5:20pm

Sell EURUSD at 1.2710 , S/L 1.2750 , T/P 1.2610

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