Yesterday the pair closed above the broken support level 1.4172 and added more bullish momentum, so far the pair is still trading around 23.6 retracement 14260 and below EMA 50 currently 1.4322 , the pair is supposed to find strong resistance and decline strongly toward  138.2% extension around 1.3900 and 161.8% extension around 1.3700 ....shift down to the 4 hour , yesterday late or early this morning , the pair breached above the resistance line of the upward channel but momentum indicators are strongly overbought , also we had hidden bearish divergence , usually false breakouts come after hidden divergences ,the last chart is the 1 hour , possible bearish move or correction the next few hours followed by strong bullish move...

Technical resistance levels: 1.4170 - 1.4240 - 1.4320 - 1.4440
Technical support levels: 1.4050 - 1.3960 - 1.3880 - 1.3800
Trading range: 1.4300 - 1.4100
Trend Direction: Downward

Recommendations: Upon the chart and the explanation posted above , my recommendation is selling the pair with a daily  closing below 1.4128 targeting 1.3900 and 1.3710 , stop loss 100 pips above your entry ....

Best Regards


18 May 2011 06:48 AM

Views: 14

Comment by Haitham653 on May 18, 2011 at 8:08am

The next few hours , the pair is supposed to drop , to test the broken trend line as shown in the 4 hour chart posted above , then it will pullback from the broken trend line toward Fibonacci retracement 23.6% around 1.4260. or between 23.6% -38.2%...what should we do ?!!

we should observe the market at smaller time frames 60 min and below , once we get a short signal , then we ride the market with sellers...

This scenario is supposed to happen within 24-48 hours..


18 May 2011 08:08 AM


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