The EURUSD corrected higher last week , topped at 1.2991, closed lower at 1.2950, so far the consolidation from 1.3171 still in progress,above 1.3000 will flip bias to the upside but be careful, above 1.3000 we have 2 sloping resistance lines, the first one from 1.3171, the second one is the most important , It comes from 1.4939 - 2011 high - so any move above 1.3000 is supposed to be capped by 1.3200/1.3150 levels , only a clear break with daily close above 1.3212 would confirm resumption from 1.2042 and target 1.3500 levels..
Keep in mind as long as the support 1.2804 holds , we're in short term bullish view , only losing the key support 1.2700/1.2650 would completely end the bullish phase and it would resume the long term bearish trend .
By checking the 15 min chart, today I think the pair would find some resistance around 1.2960, so If you wanna risk a bit you might sell the pair here with tight stop above 1.2991, 20 or 30 pips , target some where around 1.2820, I think the pair would test this area first before attempting any rise above 1.3000 levels...
Fundamental focus today is on Core Retail Sales m/m and Retail Sales m/m from United States at 12:30 PM GMT
Resistance : 1.2960 1.3000 1.3055 1.3110 1.3165 1.3210
Support : 1.2895 1.2835 1.2790 1.2735 1.2680
Best Regards
Haitham
Comment by Haitham653 on October 15, 2012 at 12:44pm We've already have positive news from United States, most likely the EURO would test 1.2900 levels once again!!!!
The fundamental outlook supports the technical view on smaller time frames !!!
Comment by Haitham653 on October 15, 2012 at 3:09pm Hello Fin..
I would agree with that, above 1.3000 we might have some bullish momentum but overall the pair is vulnerable above 1.3000 with stability below 1.3200 levels...
Thanks for your comment ..
Comment by Haitham653 on October 15, 2012 at 8:19pm USDJPY: more gains are suggested as long as 78.60 holds, stability above this level would increase the risk toward 80.00 levels !!!
But in return , losing 78.60 might delay the bullish move or turn the bias back to the downside !!!
Best regards
Haitham...
Monday 15 Oct 2012 20:19
Comment by paul chijioke okeke on October 16, 2012 at 12:00am Hi Haitham,want to find if you do on NZD/USD just to view it
Comment by Haitham653 on October 16, 2012 at 5:32am Hi paul and sorry for late!!
As show on the daily chart below,the pair is in upward mode in medium term, but in short term view the pair is in consolidation mode after forming double top pattern on daily chart around 0.8355, this scenario makes the pair under strong pressure, anyway, the consolidation is expected to be contained at 0.8130, losing this level with daily close would mean that the bullish momentum in short term is lost, a clear break below 0.8075 would completely end the bullish phase and target 0.7920/0.7820 levels...
Above 0.8265 will flip bias back to the upside testing the recent highs!!!
by taking a quick look to the daily chart, buying the pair now I think is risky a bit, I recommend selling around tops with tight stop like 0.8265...
Resistance : 0.8190 0.8250 0.8305
Support : 0.8130 0.8075 0.8015
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