EurO & GoLD coulD ProbE ToP B4 DowN - ApR 10

With no major happenings, as market activity has been thin due Easter holidays, it was late night Bernanke’s fever and rumor of quantitative easing (QE) that dominated the market. USD remained under mild pressure as perception is that Fed Chairman normally does not speak in favor of US Dollar.

Interestingly he did not utter a word on economy, interest rates or QE and his complete focus was on regulatory issues, he did not look comfortable and wants more financial stability especially in shadow banking areas.  

Market still disappointed with the US unemployment number sold USD, though I expect them to realize that job number is not as bad. Another factor that did not help US Dollar was the closure of European market that halted flow of European news, which went against USD. 

But one big factor that must have mattered and weakened US Dollar was Reuter’s poll that suggested that out of 15 primary dealers 11 expect QE3 in June and out of those 10 are expecting QE3 in June. Such news/information often works well in thin market condition.

Market will remain cautious this week as quite a few FED officials will be speaking on various occasions and I expect them to be responsible, as nothing has changed. I still believe that US economy is performing well and therefore, FED is not insane to waste one of its most precious monetary weapons to fulfill the wishes of 10- or 11 primary dealers.



Gold @ $ 1654.50 = The rally can extend up to $ 1656. Prefer selling around $ 1655-56 STOPS $ 1661 for $ 1648 or $ 1644

Euro @= 1.3140 = Likely hold around 1.3105 in Asian session for a test of 1.3150-55 and only break would encourage for 1.3178, if seen sell Euro. Once 1.3080 surrenders, Euro will resume its downside move.

GBP @ = 1.5928 = Cable looks good to test 1.5945-50. Beyond that level I will remain cautious, needs to break 1.5980-85 for big up move, which is not a favored move. Downside break of 1.5870 confirms more losses.


UsD uP, GoLD uP BuT LateR DowN - ApR 09-13

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Comment by spring on April 10, 2012 at 3:23am

sir ,I sell  AUDUSD @ 1.0350

GOD bless me

Thanks sir


Comment by spring on April 10, 2012 at 3:26am

UJ ,strong support @ 81.20

You are right

Comment by asad rizvi on April 10, 2012 at 3:27am

Good one Spring, but if 1.0315-20 hold we could see a test of 1.0370....GL

Comment by kiko on April 10, 2012 at 4:20am

good luck for today

Comment by Gordon Gekko on April 10, 2012 at 5:06am

Selling Gold @ 1656 if it reaches that high.

Comment by asad rizvi on April 10, 2012 at 5:13am

Hi Gordon, Gold @ $ 1651.50 = Prefer seling around $ 1653-54. We aay have seen the top....

Comment by spring on April 10, 2012 at 5:23am

Thank you very much,sir

I am back.



Comment by Gordon Gekko on April 10, 2012 at 5:31am

Thanks Mr Asad

Comment by ratheesh kerala on April 10, 2012 at 5:44am

me to sold at 1654 , thank you...

Comment by spring on April 10, 2012 at 5:56am

I sell euro @ 1.3141 ,take profit @1.3114,

I sell AUDUSD @ 1.0350,take profit @1.0310

Now, I quit, watching.....


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