EUR desperately is trying to find direction as is reached 1.3000 level. From one side we have some better recovery in the USA, but still with a fiscal cliff threat, and from the other side we have a spreading debt crisis in Europe and continuous active financial policy of the ECB with a no rate cut promise of its chairman. So in this situaton is very difficult to make a forecast only on fundamentals. Let's take a techical look. This week is the best chance to break lower if not today then in the next 2 days. But if we fail again at 1.2940 an immediate and strong recovery will follow to 1.3100 at least. I am still thinking that before we go to 1.3170-1.3250 will be too hared to break the 1.2900 ot the break will be very short lived. Nevertheless the chance of breaking lower is great and first major support is @ 1.2870-1.2850. If that is broken then we are going to 1.2740 where is the upside channel support line. If we go there use that levels to buy EUR. To the upside we have resistance at 1.3050 and 1.3140 then 1.3170. 

GOLD still wonders what to do, but you may try small longs above 1572.

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.2980 SL 1.2960 TP 1.3050-1.3080-1.3130-1.3170

SHORT EUR on H4 closed bar below 1.2940 SL 1.2960 TP 1.2880 and below

SHORT EUR below 1.3170 SL 1.3190 TP 1.3080-1.3050

LONG GOLD above 1572 SL 1568 TP 1588-1595

SHORT GOLD below 1568 SL 1572 TP 1555 and below

Good luck!

Views: 1494

Tags: EUR, GOLD, USD

Comment by Georgi Vukov on March 11, 2013 at 8:57am

Today is a range trading day I think, there is a resistance @ 1.3030 and as long as the price stays below we can trade in 1.3030- 1.2970 all day, breaking one of those lines should open 1.3080 or 1.2900

Comment by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 11, 2013 at 9:19am

EUR reached 1.3025 with the European session open, but fears about the chinese economy have limited the upside. Increasing inflation in China may lead to restrictions. Additional pressure to EUR is coming from decreased Italian sovereign credit raiting to BBB plus from A minus by Fitch last week. There are not so important news today to move the market, so the currency is in a standby mode consolidating around 1.3000 level.

Comment by xtian21 on March 12, 2013 at 12:50am

Hit 3050 !

Comment

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