I wanted to write a blog with lots of clever references to the Ryder Cup and how a German bailed Europe out (again). But as most of the work was done by Brits, it didn’t really work.

It is difficult not to write about Europe however tedious the subject is becoming.

We have to now come to the conclusion that the Leaders (and there are way too many) of Europe are not able to control a debt crisis that has never been under control and is becoming worse day by day.

Civil unrest has to be the biggest concern of any politician. Opinion polls are all very well but to galvanize thousands, tens of thousands or even hundreds of thousands to take to the streets things must be pretty serious. It is glib in the extreme to pass demonstrations off as part of the volatile nature of the Spanish or the Greeks but to sit in an ivory tower in Frankfurt or Amsterdam, Helsinki or Brussels  and preach austerity will not come close to solving the problem.

Applying what is essentially German economic policy to the Southern European countries will not work. The overall economic policy for Europe must be equitable for all but as things stand that is the paradox of the EU.

No one in the North is going to agree to the policies that will enable to South to grow their way out of the crisis.

Devaluation is not an option especially given its inflationary effects.

Is the end nigh? Well it’s certainly drawing closer with every half considered measure that is doomed to failure by lack of commitment.

As I have written before until the EU has a leadership that rises above the politics of the individual states, every measure will be doomed to failure by self-interest and political expediency.

Views: 33

Tags: Euro, fx, sarrafx

Comment by Peter jcp on October 1, 2012 at 8:52am

I have to agree with you here - especially your last paragraph. Unfortunately Brussels as really acted like a Bank for the last ten years and milked its clients leading to  many of the problems we are now seeing. It as gone on far too long and in times of crisis - someone somewhere has to step up and tackle the issues head on.

If it was me the first thing I would do is get rid of Goldmans and any advisors that have been involved for more than 3 years. Fresh blood and urgent action - needed - now.

PS - the golf was amazing - no way could I see Europe coming back on the last day  - its just shows - its never over - until its over ;-))

Comment by Alan Hill From Sarrafx Trading on October 1, 2012 at 9:17am

I wondered if Tiger had miscounted not making Molinari putt.

Great Theatre though

Comment by Peter jcp on October 1, 2012 at 9:34am

Fantastic from what I have now seen this morning. Apparently America are looking for that nice Police Officer who made sure Rory got to tee off in the end. Without that officer's help - Rory would have been eliminated and Europe would have certainly lost :-)

At times life can be like that - so near to disaster - and then so near to success - such a fine balance - you cannot just write as script like that . Nearly the same as the EU ;-))

Comment by Alan Hill From Sarrafx Trading on October 1, 2012 at 10:00am

Very True,

Its Independence Day in Cyprus today so just filling in from home.

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