Currently we are at 1.0237  after the break of the 240 min downtrend. Looking for the move to go to the R3 @ 1.0257.   There (day chart trend wall) we could either break out there north- Target is then the R4 @ 1.0346.  Or break down back to the R2 @ 1.0202  area.    The current average daily trading range (ATR) is 74 pips.

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Comment by talisman on March 5, 2013 at 2:50pm

in your opinion is the down side more probable ? or would you weight the chances even

Comment by Scott Barkley on March 5, 2013 at 5:00pm

I will just wait until it proves it

Comment by Peter jcp on March 5, 2013 at 5:46pm

Hi Scott and Talisman - have not traded AU today - but had been thinking it was gathering some buy orders and trying to shrug off OB's at the same time before a go over 0255 and 0260. However if it cannot make it then I am selling under 0216 and 0195- meanwhile it's teasing with the LH;s but still posting HL's  - so triangle with a break out expected - but could the first one be false ? GL

Comment by Forex Pro on March 5, 2013 at 5:53pm

It will be interesting to see. I am short at present and seems like pair has attempted but failed to break the R. There is data in asian session and I will be watching it closely, even data comes out +ve I still expect it to remain under pressure. 

let's see ....

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