The Aud made good gains following the China GDP, trading almost to the point where trendline rsistance is to be seen reaching 1.0449 before failing and dropping back to resistance-turned-support at 1.0370 area. The hourlies are pointing to further near term downside moves and it looks as though the recent range will continue to dominate. 

We may again see tests of 1.0450, but it think it unlikely we go much higher than this and more likely we see a retest of the 1.0270 levels in coming sessions. Watch the S&P. It has tested 1300, but looks as though it might be difficult to sustain gains above this level, which in turn would likely weigh on the Aud.

Views: 68

Comment by Peter jcp on January 17, 2012 at 9:58pm

Might we be in a range of 1.0500 to 1.0300 with either way moves to play before it breaks either up above 1.0500 - or down below 1.0300? Even then would still only be in intraday trades until back under 1.0200 again ? - Have a good week

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