Due to holiday mood the market volume appears to be thin.Hence the contrarian moves are seen - all the majors and commodity pairs showing negative net change from friday close.This sort of move is to handle the crosses on the down side.When such contrarian moves happen - once the low in the numerator and the denominator currency is not breached ror 30 min and also in the respective cross,then once can buy near low with 50 pips stop to exit the next day when they show opposite of current move.
Eg: EURO low,YSN low are not breached and also in EURO/YEN then the buy may be initiated near low- still our expectation can go wrong so the stop.
Regards
Dr.sivaraman
Comment by Nasimul Chowdhury on May 30, 2011 at 9:46am
Comment by manan shah on May 30, 2011 at 9:52am hello dr,
where do you see gbp this week? back to 1.62 area or 1.66 above?
thanks
manan
Comment by Dr. Sivaraman on May 30, 2011 at 10:11am Dear nasimul
Within session swing trades are very essential to build up the equity.then medium and long term trades become easy by simply trailing the stop in profit making position and moving away the limit.it is like first learn to drive in city then long haul drives becomes easy any way.
I have explained position trade in my trading system webinars,
Regards
Dr.sivaraman
Comment by Dr. Sivaraman on May 30, 2011 at 10:12am Dear manan
GBP is expected to make the downward move before resuming the upward move.we may see your lower side fist and late the upside.
Regards
Dr.sivaraman
Comment by Roshan Naidu on May 30, 2011 at 11:51am
Comment by Dr. Sivaraman on May 30, 2011 at 12:25pm Dear Roshan
You can listen to the recorded webinar " tracking the forex market together part I- there I explained how the moves are to be identified using the time taken for each move.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Comment by manan shah on May 30, 2011 at 1:57pm dr,
they keep making new lows on chf...now we are at 85... do you see more going down or its good level to go long with low leverage here?
thanks
Comment by Dr. Sivaraman on May 30, 2011 at 2:08pm Dear manan
Denominator currencies are undergoing lower level consolidations for a prolonged period.this indicates that the players are holding low and buy.they avoid making any big rise- so any level buyer lose the patience and cut the positions after some time.In such a situation it is better to take positions in currencies making good volatile moves like EURO and GBP.As small traders we can focus on earning quick money without any sentimental approach to any currency.We need to focus more on tradable currencies - my humble suggestion.
Regards
Dr.Sivaraman
Comment by MarlonF on May 30, 2011 at 3:50pm Dear Dr,
Thank you very much for your forecasts and like i said before more often than not they have been spot on and VERY useful.
What do u think about Eur? will it slide to 1.41s-1.40s before rising to 1.45 range or do u think it would rise to 1.45 first and then slide back to 1.40s?
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