EurO & GoLD coulD ProbE ToP B4 DowN - ApR 10

With no major happenings, as market activity has been thin due Easter holidays, it was late night Bernanke’s fever and rumor of quantitative easing (QE) that dominated the market. USD remained under mild pressure as perception is that Fed Chairman normally does not speak in favor of US Dollar.

Interestingly he did not utter a word on economy, interest rates or QE and his complete focus was on regulatory issues, he did not look comfortable and wants more financial stability especially in shadow banking areas.  

Market still disappointed with the US unemployment number sold USD, though I expect them to realize that job number is not as bad. Another factor that did not help US Dollar was the closure of European market that halted flow of European news, which went against USD. 

But one big factor that must have mattered and weakened US Dollar was Reuter’s poll that suggested that out of 15 primary dealers 11 expect QE3 in June and out of those 10 are expecting QE3 in June. Such news/information often works well in thin market condition.

Market will remain cautious this week as quite a few FED officials will be speaking on various occasions and I expect them to be responsible, as nothing has changed. I still believe that US economy is performing well and therefore, FED is not insane to waste one of its most precious monetary weapons to fulfill the wishes of 10- or 11 primary dealers.



Gold @ $ 1654.50 = The rally can extend up to $ 1656. Prefer selling around $ 1655-56 STOPS $ 1661 for $ 1648 or $ 1644

Euro @= 1.3140 = Likely hold around 1.3105 in Asian session for a test of 1.3150-55 and only break would encourage for 1.3178, if seen sell Euro. Once 1.3080 surrenders, Euro will resume its downside move.

GBP @ = 1.5928 = Cable looks good to test 1.5945-50. Beyond that level I will remain cautious, needs to break 1.5980-85 for big up move, which is not a favored move. Downside break of 1.5870 confirms more losses.


UsD uP, GoLD uP BuT LateR DowN - ApR 09-13

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Comment by asad rizvi on April 10, 2012 at 5:36pm

Ratheesh....Good to know that u did well...GL

Comment by asad rizvi on April 10, 2012 at 5:39pm

Mohamad, you will get chance to get out f of your position...Cheers

Comment by spring on April 10, 2012 at 5:43pm

Sell gold @ 1662.6

God bless me

Comment by Roger Pazdera on April 10, 2012 at 8:50pm

Spring I bless you and recommend cashing out and wait for 1666 and redo your ( our ) SELL

Comment by asad rizvi on April 11, 2012 at 4:53am

Roger, spring is a very smart trader and one of the few in this podium that has a good success rate...GL

Comment by sowMa on April 11, 2012 at 6:19am

Hello Sir euro  @1.3100 levels struggling a lot i think pair does not have potential to move above 1.3100-40 ? any fundamental news sir ?

Comment by asad rizvi on April 11, 2012 at 6:22am

Yes thats a safe sell sowMa, as Euro should fizlle out around 1.3125-40....GL


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