On the chart to the left, the first half of each month is shaded in light green. The US dollar index has been up during the first half of the past seven months, and down during the second half of the past four months.…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on May 16, 2012 at 4:08pm — No Comments
Wednesday's New York morning session news schedule features ADP's National Employment Report, due out at 8:15am ET (12:15 GMT). The consensus forecast derived from a Bloomberg News survey calls for an estimated 170,000 workers added by US companies in April. The previous report showed that the private workforce grew by 209,000 in March.
The prior four ADP releases have had no lasting impact on the price of the EUR/USD or EUR/JPY…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on May 2, 2012 at 3:30am — No Comments
The Board of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is scheduled to announce its latest policy decision and statement on Tuesday, 1 May at 12:30am New York time (04:30 GMT). Since the Australian central bank cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points at each of its final two meetings of 2011, debate has centered on whether or not the RBA would cut rates again.
Of the 29 economists surveyed recently by Bloomberg News, two have predicted a 50bp rate cut, while the other 27 see the…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on May 1, 2012 at 12:00am — No Comments
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 30, 2012 at 4:25pm — No Comments
Recent trade of the week (TOTW) posts have featured one currency pair stuck in a trading range (EUR/USD) and another pair which showed potential to establish a new trend (USD/JPY). This week's selection is a pair that's been trending for some time.
The EUR/GBP currency pair has been moving from the upper left to the lower right of the weekly chart over the past several months. On 18 April, the…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 28, 2012 at 6:00am — No Comments
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is scheduled to announce its latest policy decision and release its semi-annual economic outlook report sometime during Friday's Asian trading session.
Japan experienced extreme inflation immediately following World War II due to ballooning government debt fueled by war spending and other expenditures. Over the 30+ years since the country's 1986-91 asset price bubble, Japan has seen a 20-year period of general disinflation (deceleration in rising prices)…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 27, 2012 at 2:30am — No Comments
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concludes its two-day meeting today. At 12:30pm New York time, the FOMC is due to release its post-meeting statement, and at 2:00pm the Fed will release its latest forecasts for US growth, unemployment, inflation, and participant projections for the federal funds rate (FFR) over the next few years. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke is scheduled to hold a press conference starting at 2:15pm ET.
When evaluating the FOMC statement, the first item traders…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 25, 2012 at 2:30pm — No Comments
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 25, 2012 at 12:50am — No Comments
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) is scheduled to publish UK first quarter growth domestic product (GDP) data on Wednesday at 9:30am London time (4:30am New York time). The ONS publishes three separate GDP estimates over as many months for each quarter. Tomorrow's preliminary release will provide the first estimates of GDP figures for the first quarter.
As the graph below illustrates, the UK has recently wavered between…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 24, 2012 at 7:30pm — No Comments
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) publishes figures on consumer prices in the so-called sunburnt country about 25 days following the end of each quarter. The latest report containing data for the first quarter is due out on Tuesday at 01:30 GMT (9:30pm New York time on Monday).
Simply put, this report can definitely rattle the so-called Aussie.…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 23, 2012 at 8:04pm — No Comments
My pick for this week's feature foreign exchange market trade could evolve into a long-term carry trade for currency traders who saw the opportunity, took it, and held it.
Three weeks ago today, I discussed in this post some factors behind the rough start the Japanese yen has had this year, and suggested that "it has…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 21, 2012 at 12:07am — No Comments
Although Friday's New York morning session is devoid of major US economic reports, currency traders might want to give consideration toward a report from the Great White North. Statistics Canada is due to release its March consumer price index report at 8:30 am New York time (12:30 GMT).
The USD/CAD currency pair has moved a relatively modest 8 to 18 pips during the first minute following the release of the past eight…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 20, 2012 at 11:20am — No Comments
Friday's London trading session brings an economic report that has been known to rattle sterling, News flow during Thursday's London session will include the latest retail sales figures for the United Kingdom. The monthly statistical bulletin on retail sales from the Office for National Statistics is due for release at 4:30 am New York time (08:30 GMT).
As I discussed in my preview of last month's…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 20, 2012 at 2:08am — No Comments
Spain's Treasury, known as the Tesoro Publico, will auction between €1.5 and €2 billion ($2 to $2.6 billion) in two- and ten-year bonds on Thursday. Spanish bond auction results are typically released between 4:30-5:30am New York time (08:30-09:30 GMT). As I mentioned in this post, there's been a lot of recent media attention and market chatter devoted to this bond auction.
Those with a…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 19, 2012 at 4:28am — No Comments
I'm hearing a lot of media and market chatter about tomorrow's government bond auction in Spain. As I mentioned in today's live class at FX Bootcamp, results of that auction could fuel the euro move of the week.
For those of you who would like to monitor yields in some of the bond markets that traders are tracking, but have no access to real-time bond yield data, I recommend that you make use of a free online tool accessible through Bloomberg's web site. Here are the steps to…
You might say that the EUR/USD response to the release of last month's US CPI report defied recent historical norms.
I discussed last month's report and the post-news trade on the euro here.
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 13, 2012 at 10:35am — No Comments
Most intra-day traders like some price volatility. Volatility means price movement, and movement -- if one's trade is pointed in the right direction, of course -- can translate into profits.
I mentioned in this post that the Australian jobs report can certainly move the Aussie. As the graph below illustrates, sharp moves on the AUD/USD currency pair during the first few minutes following that…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 11, 2012 at 3:52pm — No Comments
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 11, 2012 at 12:35am — No Comments
I plan to make similar posts in the coming days for other…Continue
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 10, 2012 at 3:00pm — No Comments
EUR/USD daily range
Currency Coach & Quantitative Analyst…
Added by FX BOOTCAMP on April 10, 2012 at 3:00am — No Comments