Vladimir Mihaylov's Blog (544)

FOREX forecast 18.05.2015-22.05.2015

EUR has broken above the 1.1250 reversal point last week after weak US retail sales data on Wednesday and closed the week above 1.1400 as Michigan's consumer confidence index was a lot worse than expected. This gave some fresh air to amlost all dollar pairs. Today markets start the week calm with no gaps and sharp moves through Asian session. EUR's bullish continues with next Daily target at 1.1600. However i expect some range trade today in small range around 1.1400 because the market will…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on May 18, 2015 at 4:54am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.05.2015-15.05.2015

EUR has made an attempt to break above 1.1370 resistance last week but it was not successful so the price is currently back to support area 1.1140-1.1150. Some 100 pips below is the Daily Sekou Span B price which now serves as another support. If we break below 1.1000 this week the next support will be 1.0860. To the upside we have to deal with 1.1360-70 resistance first. As long as we are closing the day above 1.1150 bullish outlook won't be changed. Currently on H4 things some kind bearish…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on May 11, 2015 at 5:33am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 04.05.2015-08.05.2015

EUR has broken the negative daily cloud as expected however staying far from the negative cloud will be hard, and staying above it will be even harder. We have been below this cloud for almost 10 months. Weekly, H4 and H1 indicators are mixed to bullish, only Daily ones show possible downside move ahead. The pair is now supported by 1.1130 and the resistances are 1.1240 and 1.1290, finally 1.1400. If the current support is broken, the pair will look for support in the area 1.0950-1.1000. It…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on May 4, 2015 at 5:34am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 27.04.2015-01.05.2015

EUR continues consolidation below 1.1000, but Daily indicators are turning to bullish, H4 ones are bullish also, and we have a huge potential of making a sharp move higher which may reach 1.1240 and 1.1530 so be very careful when leaving opened positions through the weekend, huge gaps are possible. Correction is needed and this can happen by the end of this month or beginning of May. First signal will be breaking of 1.0930, and this will be confirmed if we have a break of 1.1000. We have…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 27, 2015 at 5:17am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 20.04.2015-24.04.2015

EUR continues to be under downside pressure because of the financial problems with Greece and speculations that it mey leave the Eurozone next month. Of course such a move will throw financial markets in panic and the pair will drop below 1.000. This will make the dollar very expensive and the price will have a negative impact of the US export too. Above 1.0750 some limited upside is possible to 1.0900 for example where we shall meet the Senkou Span A price level of the Daily cloud. For now…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 20, 2015 at 4:40am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 13.04.2015-17.04.2015

EUR dropped again below the main support 1.0800 and reversed the bullish recovery to bearish continuation. Currently indicators on all time frames are bearish and i expect the downside to continue soon. Breaking below 1.0550 will signal that the pair starts a fresh move to the downside with target 1.0460 and then 1.0420. We have now a strong resistance area at 1.0790-1.0800. Only a Daily close above will reverse the bearish outlook. As long as we are below 1.0650 you may open SHORT…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 13, 2015 at 5:23am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 06.04.2015-10.04.2015

EUR has recovered a bit and reached 1.1030 again, but it seems we have not enough power to break this higher. Currently the price is locked within the range 1.1030-1.0850. This week we haven't so important economic events and data releases. The most important thing will the the FOMC minutes and it is expected the dollar to loose some price, but it won't be much. EUR will try to take advantage and to preak above 1.1030. This week's upside target will be 1.1310 and 1.1030 will remain the…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 6, 2015 at 5:46am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 30.03.2015

EUR climbed up last week and even reached 1.1000 but quickly dropped back. The pair is now supported on Daily at 1.0790, however Daily and H4 indicators point to the downside and it seems for now the pair does not have anough power to break the 1.1000 resistance. So all eyes are now at the support area 1.0810-1.0790, breaking of this will test 1.0660 and 1.0520. Today we shall have the Germany's CPI and some not so important data from the USA. If the economic data from Germany is positive…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 30, 2015 at 5:09am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 23.03.2015-27.03.2015

Dollar has made some pullback after last week's mrs.Yellen's speech and gave other currencies some fresh air. However the recovery is just too small to change the bearish outlook across the markets. Most of the pairs are currently stuck at the resistance levels and need some fundamental data to break them or bounce back to the downside. Later today mr.Draghi speaks, and EU's economic sentiment index will be released may be these two will push the EUR to the downside again, but not so strong.…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 23, 2015 at 6:06am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 16.03.2015

EUR has lost 1.1000 support last week and then dropped for another 500 pips. So we are now another step closer to parity. The pair is bearish on all time frames except H1, where it is trying to consolidate and to build support around 1.0500. It will be difficult today, but tomorrow we have the ZEW data from Germany and if it is better as expected this may help the EUR to clumb up to 1.0650 and 1.0690. but for now we remain bearish with support 1.0460. However the recovery can be quite short…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 16, 2015 at 5:45am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 09.03.2015-13.03.2015

EUR dropped heavily last week and is now trading far below 1.1000. Current conditions show the pair is extremely bearish with no signs of correction higher. Indicators on all time frames are bearish and the pair is going to drop further. It has reached some support area between 1.0800 and 1.0830 which probably will stop further downside for now and the pair may also recover a bit to 1.0900 till Thursday, when i expect another downside and breaking the 1.0830 support. Bad times for the EUR…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 9, 2015 at 7:06am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 02.03.2015-06.03.2015

After last month's EUR pullback seems that the EU currency is ready to go south for another wave. The pair has lost 1.1200 level again and is currently trading below, with no signs for any upside for now. indicators on almost all timeframes are bearish which tells me that soon we are going to 1.1100 and below. Daily resistance here is at 1.1350 and only above that we may hope for further recovery. The pair is bearish below 1.1300 on Daily any price below this level will be used to open fresh…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 2, 2015 at 7:49am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 23.02.2015-27.02.2015

EUR remains in consolidation despite the sudden Friday volatility on Greek financial conditions agreement. H4 and Daily indicators are flat and give no information for the future, while Weekly ones seem to point to the upside. Today Germany's IFO data will be released and it is expected to be better than previous so this will be in favor of the upside movement. It is good to know that at 1.1660 we have a quite strong resistance and breaking above will be very hard. So for now i think that…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 23, 2015 at 7:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast - 16.02.2015-20.02.2015

EUR has stabilized the price above 1.1300 and seems ready to start recovery to the upside this week. Economic data that is going to be released is expected to support the upside movements too. First support comes at 1.1405 above this one we are bullish and the target is 1.1450-1.1475-1.1495-1.1530. Above the last comes the first significant resistance area between 1.1545 and 1.1575. As you can see it is pretty wide and it is even stronger with the help ot the H4 SMA200 which passes through…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 16, 2015 at 6:17am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 09.02.2015-13.02.2015

EUR opened today with a small downside gap but the 1.1290 support stopped the downside move and the price bounced back to 1.1340 resistance. Next resistance comes at 1.1360-1.1380 area and above that the upside will accelerate. Target will be set at 1.1530, but before that 1.1410 and 1.1440 have to be broken too. This week there are few important economic releases and this somehow will help the EUR to recover further to the upside, but i do not expect for now recovery above 1.1600. To the…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 9, 2015 at 6:39am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 02.02.2015-06.02.2015

EUR has paused the high speed downside which started in December. However the downside is still far from over. On H4, Daily, Weekly and Monthly the indicators are bearish and for now do not show any signs of correction. To start a correction we need a H4 close above 1.1360 first, next resistance comes at 1.1480, above that will open the way to 1.1650 and 1.1800. To the downside things are much easier first support comes at 1.1270, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1140 , finally 1.1097 which was the…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 2, 2015 at 6:24am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 26.01.2015-30.01.2015

EUR continues free fall as the negative news is coming out one by one. First the ECB starts QE program and now in Greece will rule the pro-socialist government. Days of the european union are already counted, the countdown has started. EUR price goes to the downside incerasing its speed with every hour it is like a snowball falling downs the mountain slope and finally will crash into the rocks at the bottom. This morning the pair has recorded a fresh low at 1.1097 then corrected some 100…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on January 26, 2015 at 6:42am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 19.01.2015-23.01.2015

EUR continues to loose price against the Dollar. The price dropped to 1.1460 and then we had some 100 pips pullback. Currently the pair attempts to recover further using the profit taking from SHORT ahead of ECB later this week. We shall have also Germany's ZEW economic sentiment and Eurozone PMI which are expected to be better than previous so this may help the EUR to climb up to 1.1760 and even to test 1.2040 again. All indicators are bearish below 1.1570. First downside target is 1.1510…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on January 19, 2015 at 6:49am — 2 Comments

FOREX forecast 12.01.2015-16.01.2015

Last week EUR recorded a new low at 1.1754 and that was the fourth week in a row with a negative close. Weekly and Daily indicators are bearish, but the H4 ones show some signs of correction. Today we do not have any important economic data and the market calmed down after the stormy beginning of the year. Now everybody is waiting for Greece's elections on 25th of January. until then EUR will remain under a continuous downside pressure and any recovery will be limited. Currently the Daily…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on January 12, 2015 at 6:26am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 05.01.2015-09.01.2015

EUR dropped heavily with today's open and started this week with a huge gap lower. Seems that EU economy is quite more worse than mr. Draghi and other financial ministers keep trying the whole 2014 to convince us. Now the politics take part in the game trying desperate to save the EU economy. mrs.Merkel says Greece may be kiked off the EU zone soon and this has turned the market into a strom field. It is good to know that such news throw the market into panic and economic data has no matter.…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on January 5, 2015 at 6:27am — No Comments

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