César B.Leiceaga's Blog (196)
EUR/GBP Swing trade strategy
Shorting the cross on any strength to the hourly 55EMA around 0.8800 and 0.8825. Stop placed above 0.8850 resistance area with multiple targets.
Target 1 at the 61,8 retracement in 0.8750s and Target 2 in 0.8670s support zone
.
Good luck trading!
César…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on June 14, 2011 at 8:01am — No Comments
GBP/JPY Strategy
After the upside breakout through the bear trendline and EMA resistance I'm buying the dips to 131.80 and 131.35 pivot. An initial target lays at today's option expiry in 132.25 and leaving a second target at 133.00 area. Stops placement under 131.00.
Good luck to…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on June 7, 2011 at 10:44am — No Comments
Silver finally takes off
Target accomplished just shy of $39, adding again if the dip extends to $36.00.
Good luck!
Added by César B.Leiceaga on May 26, 2011 at 10:58am — No Comments
EUR/USD Giving a buy signal
Here's my trade idea: Bought on the bearish trendline breakout or wait for a pullback to enter. Placing STOP under the weekly pivot en 1.4208, most comfortable under the figure. Target 1 in 1.4300 and Target 2 in 1.4350 (Weekly R1)
Good luck trading!
César…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on May 19, 2011 at 10:00am — No Comments
Silver reverses from major trendline support
We are getting a bounce off major trendline support an a fantastic reversal candle. I'm already long and adding in any dips to target the top in 49.50. Stay…
Added by César B.Leiceaga on May 13, 2011 at 11:15am — 4 Comments
Buying opportunity in silver?
Yes everyone,silver is still in an uptrend from a long term perspective and after all, this months margin hikes had a sole purpose: shake out the weak hands. The target was accomplished and from an investors point of view this could represent the ideal timing to position ourselves on the long side of the trade…
Added by César B.Leiceaga on May 9, 2011 at 12:06pm — No Comments
EUR/JPY Deeper retracement expected
The pair has recently eroded trendline support, has been rejected at the weekly pivot in 120.17 and drilled down a medium term 38.2% Fib support from the whole up swing 116.43 - 121.81. Anything else??
On my radar screen for a "sell on strenght" trade.
Regards.
César…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on May 3, 2011 at 10:39am — No Comments
Silver slowly recovering
Silver bounces off the S2 weekly pivot in 42.23 after the unexplained sell-off. This has brought savvy investors into the bid at lower levels.
The metal is currently trading above resistance level in 44.58 and further resistance levels are to be tested sooner or later starting from 46.00/20 area.
Bear in…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on May 2, 2011 at 10:30am — No Comments
EUR/CHF Selling rallies
Mi idea is to sell rallies up to 1.2900s with a 50/60 pip stop and targeting the lower part of the wide range that seems to be stuck in... What do you guys…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on April 29, 2011 at 10:02am — 3 Comments
EUR/JPY 15 min strategy
Buying this dip at 121.20s assuming we've got a trendline breakout in the 15 minute chart. Placing stops below the pivot point and a first target at 122.00.
Good luck!
César…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on April 28, 2011 at 10:00am — No Comments
EUR/USD Long strategy
Approaching my buy zone for the US session.
Waiting for the retracement to find support between the 15min EMA cluster support starting from 1.4600 and the daily pivot in 1.4580.
STOP placed below S1 pivot in 1.4525 and TARGETS in 1.4650 high and 1.4675/80 (daily R2 pivot)
Good…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on April 26, 2011 at 10:41am — No Comments
Rabobank sees strong correlation between USD/JPY and DJIA
She says "Simply put while the Japanese fundamentals argue for a softer yen, this outlook only has gravitas in a "risk on" enviroment and so for now the JPY looks set to see decent support"
Source: Dow Jones News
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 19, 2011 at 8:56am — No Comments
CDS Update
Greek 5year CDS has moved 15bp to 1105, whilst the 10Y GGB yield is around 13.30%. The spread vs Bunds is close to 990bp as media highlights fears of a possible default.
Ireland's now around 605bp after Moody's downgrade.
And Spain's Bono/Bund spread trades 10bp to 199bp.
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 15, 2011 at 9:57am — No Comments
European Market Recap
# Inflation risks have risen, oil the main driver - ECB's Gonzalez-Paramo
# Greek January Jobless Rate jumps to 15.1%, a new record
# Greek CDS hits record highs, leads European default costs higher
# CIC plays down Spanish saving bank investment reports
# Even chance Finland blocks Portugal aid - FinMin official
# March Nationwide consumer confidence 44 vs 39 pvs
# Swiss April ZEW investor sentiment surges… Continue
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 14, 2011 at 11:02am — No Comments
JPY Crosses Rumours
There was more buying interest reported in AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY after initial sales. Dealers confirmed aggressive buying in AUD/JPY from 87 figure.
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 14, 2011 at 6:22am — No Comments
Gold facing critical pivot cluster resistance
Critical pivot resistance clustered between 1459 and 1460 that correspond to the Weekly pivot and Monthly R1. Above we find bearish trendline resistance close to 1462 and below the first support lays at 1454 (daily pivot). A key area to be watching before taking…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on April 13, 2011 at 7:49am — No Comments
Retail Positioning - Updated 8:40GMT
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 13, 2011 at 6:52am — No Comments
European Session Recap
# UK trade deficit shrinks again on record exports
# Sterling slides, gilts extend gains after UK inflation
# German March CPI confirmed at +2.1% Y/Y
# German April ZEW falls to 7.6, 14.1 pvs 11.0 exp
# Chinese Premier Wen pledges investment to Spain
# Yen remains volatile as risk interests gyrate
# Aussie & Kiwi skids overnight vs JPY & USD on profit-taking
Added by César B.Leiceaga on April 12, 2011 at 10:59am — No Comments
Silver's sell-off explained
The sell-off explained according to Bloomberg:
"A trader’s almost $1 million bet that an exchange-traded fund tracking silver will plunge 37 percent by July was today’s biggest single options trade on U.S. exchanges as futures on the metal reached a 31-year high. The 100,000 options to buy 100 shares…
ContinueAdded by César B.Leiceaga on April 12, 2011 at 7:23am — No Comments
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