All Blog Posts Tagged 'fx' (234)

EURGBP - Grind lower targets .7217/29

EURGBP was sold at lower levels for a 4th day in succession Thursday. This took EURGBP to new 7 year lows and to the bottom band of a falling Keltner channel. The scope of this week's moves – more than a big figure – means intraday signals are over-stretched but, currently, profit taking is likely to remain temporary and limited. So, coupled with bearish momentum and strength indicators we look for lower levels to continue to…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 27, 2015 at 7:02am — No Comments

USDCAD - Inverted Hammer targets 1.2361

Yesterday saw the negative sentiment highlighted by Tuesday’s Inverted Hammer extend. A 2nd down day in a row cemented prices beneath that 13 day moving average. The scope of the turn in USDCAD means sentiment is oversold but currently there is no sign of anything other than temporary intraday rallies with potential through 1.2402 to 1.2361 and 1.2328.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 26, 2015 at 6:56am — No Comments

GBPUSD - Setbacks bought. Sentiment positive. Targets 1.5481/5519

Initial price action Monday continued the setback from last week's top. But this downside was, expectedly, temporary and found fresh demand near the key 13 day moving average. This resulted in strong buying that produced the highest closing level of the month. Asian trading has seen a modest reactive move but sentiment is positive with potential to 1.5481 and 1.5519.

The risk level is below 1.5398.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 24, 2015 at 7:00am — No Comments

EURUSD - Back above key average - Further Upside Targeted

EURUSD continues to fluctuate around the 13 day average. Initial trading yesterday reversed Tuesday’s gains but in late price action the bulk of this downside was regained. Limited net movement means signals for sentiment cannot be strong but the downside rejection coupled with demand in Asia above the average means studies are positive with potential through 1.1449 to 1.1487.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 19, 2015 at 6:58am — 1 Comment

EURGBP - Gradual decline to deepen towards .7342

Against a background of bearish signals for sentiment for this week, there was only minor movement yesterday. But price action remains close to the bottom of a declining Keltner channel and an early attempt to rally found sellers at lower levels. With no sign of an end to this gradual deterioration in sentiment, and a new 7 year low posted in Asia, further downside is anticipated towards the 2008 low at .7342.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 17, 2015 at 6:58am — No Comments

GBPUSD - Buy Dip scenario still rules. 1.5560 targeted this week.

A trend of higher weekly CABLE lows which have been posted since January’s 18 month base at 1.4951 and a weekly close above the 13 day average rate kept last week’s signals pointing higher. These were confirmed as the sequence of higher weekly lows has been extended to 3 and with gains of almost 2 Big Figs. There is no sign that the demand to buy dips is ending so we continue to look to the topside with potential to 1.5560 or even 1.5621.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 16, 2015 at 9:30am — No Comments

EURUSD - Buyers return - upside to extend

After 3 days of consolidation/limited net movement buying interest was attracted to EURUSD yesterday. This took prices to test the key 13 day moving average and although that point was not clearly breached, the underlying positive tone has been reinforced by Asian demand this morning with potential to retest this month's highs in the coming days.

Intraday targets are 1.1458 and 1.1487 with a risk of 1.1371.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 13, 2015 at 7:02am — No Comments

EURGBP - Bullish Hammer pattern targets .7462

Against a background of negative signals for sentiment for this week, yesterday saw EURGBP continue to hug the lower end of a declining daily Keltner channel. But after posting a new 7 year low, profit taking, from oversold extremes, developed. That move is counter trend and must be treated with caution but the recovery of virtually the entire initial fall produced a Bullish Hammer targeting .7462 or even towards .7493.

Only below .7401 negates this bullish outlook.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 12, 2015 at 7:01am — No Comments

GBPUSD - Tentatively Bullish targeting 1.5297

Against a background of positive signals for sentiment for this week, yesterday saw a return of buying interest. After 2 days of decline the trend defining 13 day moving average was untested and buyers emerged around the 1.5200 level. Monday’s net fall was regained but the highs were not maintained and Asia has attracted some further downside. Nonetheless, temporarily and cautiously, sentiment is assessed as positive and so our call is Cautiously Bullish while above 1.5197, yesterday's low.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 11, 2015 at 6:30am — 1 Comment

EURGBP - Upside rejection to dominate this week's trading

Despite the previous week's 7 year low being unbroken . Initial profit taking stalled, and attracted fresh selling, at the key 13 day moving average – a level that has held for almost 2 months. Wednesday’s Marabuzo line, and the 13 day moving average, is now capping rallies and so although intraday price action is likely to remain volatile we look for rallies this week to be limited by .7521 with potential to .7377 and .7342.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 9, 2015 at 8:11am — 2 Comments

EURGBP - Average and Marabuzo line caps. .7435 potential

Asian downside yesterday extended Wednesday’s strong rejection of the 13 day moving average. Europe reacted from those lows but the bounce was a limited one – capped comfortably by Wednesday’s Marabuzo line. While the unchanged close does reflect a degree of investor indecision it is the weakness of the rally that, coupled with a declining Keltner channel, keeps the focus on the downside targeting .7455 and .7435.…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 6, 2015 at 7:39am — 1 Comment

GBPUSD - Gradual drift lower to continue.1.4989 targeted

Like EURUSD this week's signals highlight a lack of clear immediate signals for sentiment. This was confirmed by limited net movement yesterday and similar ranges to Friday’s indecisive trading. So, despite remaining under the 13 day average and the Keltner channel being bearish, immediate studies have to be assessed with caution. Nonetheless lower levels in Asia keep the focus on the downside with potential to 1.4989 or even 1.4951. The risk level is currently assessed as…

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Added by Alan Collins on February 3, 2015 at 7:19am — 1 Comment

EURGBP - Weak rallies and negative Keltner channel dominate

This week's consolidation continued yesterday. Little net movement has been seen over 3 days of trading but it is the weakness of profit taking attempts coupled with a still declining Keltner channel than emphasises that the underlying tone remains negative with potential through .7427 to .7405.…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 29, 2015 at 7:03am — No Comments

Forex Trading Strategy Session - FOMC Day

 FOMC press conference later today.  Will Yellen's team be less hawkish with oil prices dragging CPI data so low?  Only time will tell.  In today's forex trading strategy session, we go through all the charts and apply technical analysis: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY, CAD/JPY, NZD/JPY, NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, OIL, GOLD,…

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Added by FX BOOTCAMP on January 28, 2015 at 2:22pm — No Comments

GBPUSD - Temporary Rally potential but market targets 1.4912/4813 this week

Sellers continue to govern CABLE with last week producing the 6th weekly decline in succession – tracking the lower end of a declining Keltner channel. But last week was dominated by Thursday’s price action – initial gains rejected near the key 13 day moving average then followed by the most aggressive fall of the month. The lows, posted Friday, were not held as some profit taking, from oversold extremes, was attracted but allowing for a temporary stronger bounce there remains potential to…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 26, 2015 at 7:51am — 1 Comment

EURUSD - Bounces to be limited. Potentail to 1.1282

Wednesday’s bearish Inverted Hammer pattern was…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 23, 2015 at 7:24am — No Comments

USDCAD breaks key levels. Longer term investors will target 1.2470.

Today's powerful move higher has taken USDCAD to the most positive levels since Q2 2009 and also recovered more than 76% of the fall from that year's peak.

Although some profit taking will be attracted as the dust on today's news settles, longer term investors will remain bullish of this currency pair targeting 1.2470 or even 1.2601 in the coming weeks.…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 21, 2015 at 3:57pm — No Comments

EURUSD - Keltner channel points lower. 1.1540 immediate target

Monday’s minor net gains were overturned yesterday. But the resulting downside was still muted – keeping prices near the bottom of a negative Keltner channel but without threatening Friday’s bullish Hammer pattern. This price action does not supply strong signals for sentiment but, despite Asian gains, 3cA studies are left negative for this morning with potential through 1.1561 to 1.1540 or even towards 1.1493. The risk is above 1.1642.…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 21, 2015 at 6:55am — 1 Comment

GBPUSD - Keltner channel leads prices towards 1.5035

Yesterday's price action resulting in limited downside- a 3rd such day in a row. This kept prices near the base of the Keltner channel and selling pressure has extended in Asia. Oversold extremes are a growing concern and a reaction to the Asian move may well be seen but sentiment is negative targeting 1.5058 and 1.5035.…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 20, 2015 at 7:04am — No Comments

USDCAD - Powerful bounce targets levels above 1.2000

Early gains Thursday failed close to 1.2000 but the key factor is that the powerful subsequent decline of almost 2 big figures was equally aggressively reversed into the close. This rejection of levels beneath the 13 day moving average emphasises the relevance of the positive Keltner channel and we look for the upside to continue to develop towards 1.2018 and 1.2042.…

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Added by Alan Collins on January 16, 2015 at 6:56am — No Comments

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