All Blog Posts Tagged 'USDJPY' (559)

FX Light - USDCAD Starting To Work

"Never Knew How Poor I Was Until I Started Making A Little Money - Bud Fox, Movie Wall Street 1987."

14th July 2014. The Portuguese banking system continues to make headlines and the equity markets have come off a little. Will the ECB come and rescue them? They…

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Added by Gary on July 14, 2014 at 8:09am — No Comments

FX Light - FTSE & DAX To Lead Markets Lower? Connecting The Dots Leads To GBPJPY

“Stock market bubbles don’t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception.” George Soros 9th July 2014.

We are seeing the first few down days in a row for the S&P in some time. Should the markets correct…

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Added by Gary on July 9, 2014 at 7:11am — No Comments

FX Light - Getting More Aggressive Now

1st July 2014. The last 24 hours has seen a wave of selling against the buck with key pairs now looking quite stretched. GBPUSD is now weekly, daily and was briefly hourly overbought. EURUSD seems to be making that move up towards 1.37 that seemed on the cards a few days ago. USDJPY seems to be…

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Added by Gary on July 1, 2014 at 7:18am — 1 Comment

FX Light - Mr Market

26th June 2014. If you recall Q1 in the United States was all about the bad weather and the restraining effect that was having on economic activity, but that was a terrible Q1 GDP number out of the states yesterday. I am starting to have some sympathy for Janet Yellen’s “catch 22”. …

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Added by Gary on June 26, 2014 at 8:19am — No Comments

FX Light - Shinzo Abe & What Next For USDJPY

“To serve as Prime Minister while being too mindful of the approval rating is like serving as Prime Minister on a roller coaster. What is important, I believe, is that I really act on promises that I make and leave results. Leave a track record and show to the Japanese public, who will,…

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Added by Gary on June 23, 2014 at 10:44pm — 1 Comment

FX Light - FTSE, USDJPY, EURUSD, AUDUSD

“The ability to foresee that some things cannot be foreseen is a very important quality” – Rousseau

June 16th 2014. Last week was bitter sweet. While I managed to make significant progress in my own account it came at the expense of seeing the Kiwi Dollar reverse…

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Added by Gary on June 16, 2014 at 9:00am — No Comments

USDJPY Weekly Forecast Jun 09 2014

Outlook in USDJPY has turned to the upside this week , the weekly closing above the 102.35 is supposed to pave the way towards the 104.12 levels , further upside will aim the 104.86 levels ahead of 105.43 levels.

On the downside , support comes at the 101.74 levels ahead of 100.43 ( main) , sustained trading – weekly closing – below the 100.43 will open 98.92 levels before the next rise , below this level will turn focus on the 96.56 levels.

In all , as long as support 100.43…

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Added by Haitham653 on June 9, 2014 at 4:29am — 6 Comments

RBS - Still looking for the opportunity to be long USD/JPY

Royal Bank of Scotland - "Our strategy is to look for a buying opportunity in USD/JPY. In the current environment, it may mean waiting for 100, the 61.8% retracement of the rise from the previous low in October last year before it rallied to its peak above 105 around the turn into this year. However, we would be watching closely to see if it looks to be holding the low this year in Feb near 100.75. Perhaps the strategy is to look for supports to hold and signs of it breaking its recent…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on May 21, 2014 at 9:04am — No Comments

Rabobank FX: JPY - in favour?

"(...)

In addition to BoJ decisions there are a couple of other factors which could prove to be crucial in determining the path of USD/JPY through the remainder of the year and beyond.  The first is geo-political risk.  There is currently a risk that investors are treating the crisis in Ukraine with too much complacency.  Further deteriorating in the region could lead to safe haven demand for the yen.  Also,…

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Added by Daologic on May 19, 2014 at 10:43am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: ECB speakers to keep euro a sell on rallies

UBS - "Financial markets are giving out inconsistent signals. A firmer yen, stronger Treasuries and bunds, weaker Eurozone peripheral bonds and lower stocks point to increased risk aversion. But the Swiss franc is weakening while commodity currencies are stable. The major currencies are more likely still to be driven by shifts in monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is set to keep tapering, helping the dollar recover from this year's lows. The likelihood of European Central Bank easing next…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on May 19, 2014 at 10:08am — No Comments

USDJPY Weekly Forecast May 19 2014

The USDJPY continued its bearish momentum last week , topped at the 102.35  levels , and bottomed at the 101.30 levels .Now pressure will be on the key support 101.30 …

The USDJPY  will have to hold below the 101.30  levels on a weekly closing basis to push the market for further downside losses , If seen , It will target the the 100.00  levels , a halt is likely , but losing the 100.00  levels on a weekly basis will  open 98.80 levels, further downside will aim…

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Added by Haitham653 on May 19, 2014 at 6:18am — No Comments

USDJPY Daily Forecast May 07 2014

The USDJPY  maintained a bearish momentum yesterday , printed resistance at the 102.18  levels .This development leaves the pair targeting the 101.00  levels where a breach will turn focus on the 100.55  levels , further downside will aim the 100.00  levels.

On the upside , resistance comes at the 101.86  levels ahead of 102.18  (main), break of 102.18  levels on a daily basis would recapture the 103.11  levels , If this resistance is taken out , expect the pair to strengthen further…

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Added by Haitham653 on May 7, 2014 at 9:33am — No Comments

FX Light.

“Victorious warriors win first and then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first, and then seek to win”. Sun Tzu, The Art of War

May 6th 2014. I would say SPX 1800, USD/JPY 100.75 and EUR/CHF 1.2100 are those major areas you want to pay…

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Added by Gary on May 6, 2014 at 9:24am — No Comments

FX Light - BIG BIG Fed Day

"To me a wise and humane policy is to occasionally let inflation rise even when inflation is running above target". Janet Yellen, chairwomen, US Federal Reserve.

April 30th. Today is not just the end of the month where additional flows can cause…

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Added by Gary on April 30, 2014 at 8:30am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: A Key Week For The Dollar

UBS - "The dollar continues to trade at weak levels against the euro, pound and Swiss franc as the Federal Reserve is still printing money and buying bonds. In the week ahead the Federal Open Market Committee is likely to taper its asset purchases by another $10bn to $45bn a month. We expect the greenback to rise across the board as the end of quantitative easing comes into sight by the autumn. But this month's FOMC decision may only provide marginal support to the dollar as the Fed will…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on April 28, 2014 at 9:19am — No Comments

FX Light. Watch Kiwi Pairs

“In a state of overconfidence or euphoria, you can’t perceive any risk because euphoria makes you believe that absolutely nothing can go wrong”

April 22nd. I’m back this morning after a week away and market liquidity should be back after yesterday’s holiday.…

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Added by Gary on April 22, 2014 at 8:11am — 2 Comments

USDJPY Weekly Outlook - Dayton Marks

The United States:

Our good friends South of us have some good outlooks for us to look forwards to, the United States from what I've seen with Yellen cares a lot for the Unemployment rate.

(Source: Federal Reserve - February Monetary…

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Added by Dayton Marks on April 16, 2014 at 11:54pm — 3 Comments

TD Securities: Weekly technical outlook USDJPY

  USDJPY’s slide to the low end of the Feb-Apr consolidation range leaves the USD looking delicately poised. With daily cloud support failing to hold the market this week, the gently rising range (bear flag) developed over the past few weeks may be heralding more pronounced USD weakness ahead. A clear push below…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 5:24am — No Comments

RBSM: FX News, Themes & Views | US | 11th April

"Strategy

 Correlations between USD/JPY and Japanese equities have become more erratic. But Nikkei's 2.4% decline today brings Year-to-date falls above 14%. Anticipate more pressure on those sitting more in hope than expectation on remaining JPY shorts.

 Potentially a downside risk for USD/JPY next few days is a higher USD/CNH and USD/CNY. Levels of complacency have been running high that (a) the USD/China up move stalls…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 10:24am — No Comments

FX Light S&P Fib Levels

“It is the change in the major trend that hurts most speculators”. Jesse Livermore  1877-1940 Speculator and stock trader.

April 11th. The S&P turned lower again, breaking support at the bottom of a rising channel set from mid-February and the 38.2% Fibonacci…

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Added by Gary on April 11, 2014 at 9:46am — No Comments

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