All Blog Posts Tagged 'USD' (1,293)

BBH MarketView: US Economy: Where do We Stand?

"US Economy:  Where do We Stand?

Today's US retail sales report was disappointing.  Not only were January sales poor, the weakest in ten months, but both November and December sales were revised lower.   The back month revisions, coupled with…


Added by Daologic on February 13, 2014 at 4:20pm — No Comments

BBH MarketView: What Has Changed in EM


1) S&P moved the outlook on Turkey’s rating from stable to negative.  We totally agree but this is not a surprise to us as our model has Turkey at BB/Ba2/BB.  S&P's BB+ is the lowest of the three.  Fitch and Moody's have Turkey at investment grade (Baa3 and BBB-, respectively), which increasingly looks premature.…


Added by Daologic on February 13, 2014 at 4:15pm — No Comments

FOREX forecast 13.02.2014

It was quite suprising downside move yesterday as noone expected that one guy will make an interview and will talk about things which may or may not become a reality. In fact this was a signal for some big players to make their day as the price went down for more than 50 pips in less than 10 min. But yesterday's drop has made one thing clear enough to see. Take a look on H4 and on H1 - you may see there so clear H&S formation with the 1.3570 neckline H4 closed below will confirm the…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 13, 2014 at 6:25am — 2 Comments

BNZ Interest Rate Strategy Interest Rate/ FX Strategy: The RBNZ Will Wait For No Man

"We are often questioned on how plausible it is the RBNZ will raise rates fairly aggressively when the rest of the world remains ‘on hold’.

Here we address some of the key issues.…


Added by Daologic on February 13, 2014 at 6:03am — 1 Comment

RBSM: GBP building on its rising trend


Notwithstanding the jump in GBP post BoE inflation report, we see pressure building for further gains. The market may be reluctant to buy at the top of its recent range, but may be left scrambling if it breaks through. The recent strong UK data and outlook from the BoE suggest it is moving closer to hike than other central banks, albeit trying to keep rate hike expectations in check.…


Added by Daologic on February 13, 2014 at 6:00am — 1 Comment

USDCAD: Corrective Bias Persists -TD Morning FX outlook


USDCAD: Corrective Bias Persists 

Open 1.1001     Range 1.0976/1.1025     Prev. Close 1.1003…


Added by Daologic on February 12, 2014 at 1:49pm — No Comments

FOREX forecast 12.02.2014

EUR dropped minutes after some key moments from mrs.Yellen's speech were released - in fact she says that the tapering program will continue and there will be no delay. This immediately supported the weak dollar and it recovered some of the lost positions against the EUR. We had several attempts to break the 1.3670-80 area but all of them failed, so the price returned to the 1.3620-30 support zone with the first resistance of 1.3650. I expect the pair to make an upside move to 1.3645-50 and…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 12, 2014 at 6:04am — 7 Comments

RBS FXToughts 12 Feb


We see global markets evenly balanced. In this environment we may see asset markets and currencies trade in established ranges with potential for relatively out-performance for markets less closely correlated to the Chinese growth outlook and showing individual flare. We prefer to be long GBP, though await the BoE inflation report. We prefer to be short JPY, but await Chinese trade and credit data. We continue to see a medium term bias towards a stronger USD…


Added by Daologic on February 12, 2014 at 5:16am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - Fixed Income Research Cross-Border M&A Monitor - Inflows into US surge

"M&A inflows in US surged to almost USD 35bn on three month basis, helped by a USD 16bn deal between US and Japan which happened last month. The same deal helped push overall outflows from Japan to USD -23 bn on three months basis. Outflows now total USD-17bn YTD, already nearly half of the USD -35bn recorded last year. This paints a clearly supportive flow picture for a higher USD/JPY.

Also worth noting the UK…


Added by Daologic on February 11, 2014 at 10:04am — No Comments

RBSM: Amplifying Global FX for Asia | real yield spread supports case for higher USD/JPY

"Japanese confidence measures weaker


Most agree that Japan is showing strong economic momentum and is making progress in achieving its 2% inflation on a sustainable basis goal. However, it still has a lot of work to do. A major concern for the market is the probable dip in activity following the 1 April hike in the consumption tax from 5 to 8%. In the lead up to that event the recent data is being boosted by the…


Added by Daologic on February 11, 2014 at 7:48am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.02.2014

EUR is extremely bullish after closing last week at the top price. The pair has built a solid support at 1.3640-50 and reached 1.3677 at the end of american session as the dollar is weak. It goes even weaker against AUD and NZD. First resistance comes at 1.3675, then 1.3690 and finally 1.3705, once above the pair will target 1.3750-1.3775 where is the monthly cloud. It is less possible to break above and to enter the monthly cloud, so it is a good place to sell if we reach there in the days…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 11, 2014 at 6:02am — 3 Comments

USDCAD - Weekly Bearish Engulfing targets further profit taking

Expected selling pressure last week was confirmed as the rejection of levels near the 50% correction point (1.1236, 2009-11 fall) was shown important. Although the 13 day m.a, and a Marabuzo line from Jan 22nd, held the downside for the bulk of the week, Fri’s selling confirmed a more negative tone. In fact, last week's performance was the most bearish since September and formed a Bearish Engulfing pattern on weekly candle charts.

So, although some volatility must be…


Added by Alan Collins on February 10, 2014 at 7:28am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 10.02.2014

EUR has re-entered the positive Ichimoku on Daily and even closed the week at the top 1.3640 which is also the resistance line. Today it opened with a small gap to the downside which is a sign for possible reversal to the downside this week. However today and tomorrow there is no so important economic data. On Wednesday mr.Draghi will speak, on Thursday we have the US jobless claims report and on Friday we have the Germany's and EU's GDP and also Michigan confidence report which will move…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 10, 2014 at 6:00am — 3 Comments

FOREX forecast 07.02.2014

Mario used the old working plan to boost the EUR again, he's saying everything is okay, no place to worry about anything, because here in the EU everything is far more perfect that it seems. The real situation is that this month Troika is coming back to Greece and the perespective there is not good again, also yesterday we have seen another bad factory orders from Germany. And while the ECB is thinking what measures to take, over the atlantic FED has taken measures long ago and currently is…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 7, 2014 at 6:00am — 7 Comments

FOREX forecast 06.02.2014

EUR was quite volatile yesterday but still in a range of 50 pips, market players are cautious before ECB rate decision today and mr.Draghi's speech. We have several scenarios for today, here they are:

1. test of 1.3575 and on fail drop below 1.3480

2. test of 1.3630 after breaking 1.3575 but fail at 1.3630-40 and then quick reverse with target 1.3450

3. tiny pullback to 1.3540-50 and immediate drop to 1.3410 and below

At the moment of writing i cannot determine…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 6, 2014 at 6:00am — 11 Comments

FOREX forecast 05.02.2014

EUR traded in range yesterday as expected, and even the range was smaller only 30 pips. That has put almost all indicators into neutral position. Market is waiting for economic data releases for today, and they are the final PMI for Germany and eurozone, ADP employment change for the US and the US ISM non-manifacturing composite later today. If the EU and Germany's data comes better then the EUR may recieve some support to test 1.3570-80 resistance area, however ahead of the ADP and ISM i…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 5, 2014 at 6:42am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 04.02.2014

EUR moved in a 40 pips range yesterday despite the bad US data. Any upside will be limited by the 1.3570-80 resistance area, and the market is very cautious to buy or sell ahead of the ECB rate decision later this week. Today we are going to stay in range between 1.3480 and 1.3550. Use the upside moves to sell and place SL. The pair is prepairing to test 1.3300 but this will happen after the ECB. Today there is no so important economic data, so breaking of the range is not…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 4, 2014 at 5:55am — No Comments

Dollar Poised for Additional Gains-BBH MarketView

"Dollar  Poised for Additional Gains

The US dollar is poised to extend its gains against most of the major currencies in the week ahead.  The Japanese yen is the main exception.  A combination of equity market weakness, the smaller US interest…


Added by Daologic on February 3, 2014 at 8:31am — 1 Comment

EURUSD break of key supports targets 1.3319 this week

This year has begun with a volatility evidenced by last week's decline – a move that reversed the preceding week's direction for a 7th consecutive time. However while this price action means sentiment is more difficult to assess, this latest decline took EURUSD to 2 month lows, reversed the prior week’s entire rise and closed below the Ichimoku Cloud, the 13 day and 100 day mvg avgs.

So we look for the downside to remain the focus with potential while below 1.3609 to 1.3400 and…


Added by Alan Collins on February 3, 2014 at 8:23am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 03.02.2014

A week full of important economic data is ahead and we still cannot see any pullback in the EUR/USD pair, it is heavy bearish and still noone even thinks of profit taking. However it maybe influenced quite soon by the PMI data for Germany and USA which will be released today. If bad for Germany and good for the USA the dollar may even push the EUR further down to 1.3440 or 1.3390 where is the SMA200 line support. Ahead of it we are coing to make a significant correction higher to 1.3550 for…


Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on February 3, 2014 at 6:11am — 5 Comments


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