All Blog Posts Tagged 'USD' (1,279)

TD: Morning FX Outlook EURUSD

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We still see downward risks for EURUSD outweighing upside potential, which should remain contained to the low 1.35 area at best and prove short lived.  Technicals indicate that, from current levels, only a move above 1.3550 on a sustained basis relieves the bear pressure while a rally through 1.37 is needed to turn the technical picture more constructive.  Contrarily, weakness below 1.3375/85 will imply that…

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Added by Daologic on July 29, 2014 at 12:02pm — 1 Comment

TD: USDCAD

"USDCAD has sustained the move through the trigger point of the bull wedge pattern that broke down late last week but, as we suspected might be the case, the low 1.08 resistance area has slowed gains, leaving the USD trading in a narrow range through Monday so far. We may see some modest back and filling of the…

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Added by Daologic on July 29, 2014 at 6:47am — No Comments

BNZ: Sell a rally in NZDUSD

Outlook: Sell a rally

ST Resistance: 0.8620 (ahead of 0.8670)

ST Support: 0.8500 (ahead of 0.8450)

NZD/USD opens this week within its consolidation region ahead of the spring higher on 12 June. Support lies at the 76.4% retracement level of the 4 June – 10 July…

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Added by Daologic on July 28, 2014 at 8:06am — No Comments

USDCAD - Platformed by average - gains to extend this week

Following a week of indecisive trading, last week saw a renewal of investor demand. This continued the rally from this month’s low and took USDCAD to the highest levels for 5 weeks. This move was dominated by Friday’s powerful gains and although a failure to break through the 200 day avg or the Marabuzo line created 5 weeks previously concerns, the support offered by the 13 day avg last week, and a move to the top of a rising Keltner channel gives scope for the upside to extend to 1.0857 and…

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Added by Alan Collins on July 28, 2014 at 7:58am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 28.07.2014

EUR dropped below 1.3450 support and now consolidates inside the main support area between 1.3420 and 1.3450. It is expected the pair to test 1.3400. EUR is bearish on all time frames except Weekly and Monthly. The resistance area is 1.3445-1.3455 and if broken the target will be 1.3475-85. To the downside breaking of 1.3400 may lead to another drop to 1.3300.

GOLD bounced from the Senkous Span B price last week and currently continues recovery above 1294. At the moment of writing the…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 28, 2014 at 4:51am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 23.07.2014

EUR dropped below 1.3500 yesterday and is now approaching a strong support area which is going to stop the downside move and to start a recovery to the upside.This area is between 1.3420 and 1.3450. However if 1.3400 is broken this will lead to another 100 pips drop, but i think this won't happen this month. Since today's opening the EUR shows signs of recovery. The target is 1.3500 and above but the first attempt may not succeed.

GOLD is pretty calm in this situation, hovering above…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 23, 2014 at 6:23am — No Comments

TD Securities: Weekly Technical Outlook- EURUSD

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The double top at 1.3965 (and the break under the neckline trigger) targets a drop back to the upper 1.33s—our long-held target for a downside extension. Trend momentum is negative on the shorter-term (6-hour and daily) studies. Even with spot reversing from the intraday low and closing…

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Added by Daologic on July 21, 2014 at 2:34pm — No Comments

Rabobank FX: JPY and risk appetite

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We expect that the JPY is still on course for softening vs. the USD over the medium-term as the progression of Fed tapering highlights the extremely accommodative position of the BoJ.  However, near-term the readjustment in expectations regarding the outlook for the AUD, NZD and the EUR could be providing additional support for the yen.  Layered on top of the prevailing geopolitical risks and the adjustments…

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Added by Daologic on July 21, 2014 at 11:13am — No Comments

TD Securities: New trade Buy USDCAD at 1.0739. Risk 1.06, target 1.10.

"We think the broader, downward correction in USDCAD has run its course; technical factors are turning bullish after the rebound from 1.0600/50 and the fundamental data flow is likely to remain challenging for the CAD. Market positioning is neutral and there is no incentive for investors to get long CAD, in our opinion. We think there is a risk that Canada's June CPI data disappoints to the downside, which should help push USDCAD to, and perhaps through,1.08."

Added by Daologic on July 18, 2014 at 6:19am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 18.07.2014

EUR still holds 1.3520 by the end of the week, but let's first take a look on my previous forecast. on Wednesday i have forecasted that the EUR will continue sliding down to the support area 1.3490-1.3500. Well it still didn't reached that but went too close and the week is not over yet.We can see some stabilization just above that support area. So maybe some correction to the upside is possible today for example to 1.3540-50 and then another push to the downside again.

GOLD…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 18, 2014 at 4:43am — 4 Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook USDCAD

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Technically, price signals on the short and medium-term charts are bullish.  We think USDCAD price action marked a strong rejection of the low 1.06 area via a bullish outside range day on Friday and a more complex bull reversal signal on the weekly chart (bullish “morning star” pattern) following the weak…

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Added by Daologic on July 16, 2014 at 1:46pm — No Comments

USDCHF - Key Marabuzo line platforms gains -.9015 targeted

The significant of the Marabuzo line formed July 3rd was emphasised yesterday. Confirming our weekly call, that point was rejected for a 5th day in a row. This time this led to aggressive buying of USDCHF and a close above the 200 day moving average. Continued in Asia, modestly, intraday signals for sentiment are overbought and there is growing potential for profit taking but with the underlying tone assessed as positive with potential to .8998 and…

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Added by Alan Collins on July 16, 2014 at 6:15am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 16.07.2014

EUR dropped yesterday following a lot worse than expected ZEW data from Germany and Eurozone. Today i expect the downside to continue with target 1.3490-1.3500 support area. If that is broken too (maybe not today) downside will continue to the major support and reversal area 1.3420-30. Closing below that on Weekly will reverse the bullish trend. But I don't think this will happen soon. Currently EUR is bearish on all time frames, so more downside to come, do not enter LONG. A correction has…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 16, 2014 at 5:02am — 1 Comment

TD Securities: EURUSD strategy

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Fundamentally, we feel that even relatively disappointing US growth so far this year contrasts with weak (or weakening) growth trends in the Eurozone while the Fed’s steady move away from QE contrasts with the ECB’s recent embrace of more expansive, non -traditional policy measures. This should be EURUSDnegative.

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Based on spot/equity regressions through the 2011/12 period, relative banking sector equity performances currently suggest a EURUSD fair value of…

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Added by Daologic on July 16, 2014 at 4:30am — No Comments

Rabobank FX: central banks, centre stage- USDCAD

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Towards the end of June the market started to rethink its bearish CAD view.  Canadian CPI inflation headed higher and this triggered a debate over whether the BoC will be forced to drop its dovish tone.   Countering this view, last week’s BoC’s Outlook Survey suggested the existence of downside risks on inflation.  Since this will likely be used by the BoC as reason to maintain the dovish outlook it this…

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Added by Daologic on July 14, 2014 at 9:46am — No Comments

BNZ: NZDUSD-Sell the Rally

Outlook: Sell the rally

ST Resistance: 0.8840 (ahead of 0.8900)

ST Support: 0.8780 (ahead of 0.8700)

NZD/USD tested the post-float high of 0.8843, but failed to crack it last week. It remains within striking distance, with the big figure 0.8900 likely the first stop of resistance…

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Added by Daologic on July 14, 2014 at 6:47am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.07.2014

EUR is consolidating again ahead of Daily Senkou Span A price but as long as the price is below 1.3640 the pair is quite vulnerable to a sudden drop to 1.3540-50 for example. However this will be only a temporary weakness. And the consolidation outlook won't be changed even if the price drops to 1.3500. I think that the EUR will try to enter the negative Daily Ichimoku in the next 10 days and this means reaching 1.3700. Once above 1.3700, the final resistance will be 1.3750, and if we have a…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 11, 2014 at 5:00am — 1 Comment

Deutsche Bank:FOMC minute (Early Morning reid-Macro Strategy)

"There seems to be a fair amount of anxiousness ahead of today’s FOMC minutes but European investors will have to wait until after the market close for their release (7pm London). DB’s Joe Lavorgna expects the minutes to reveal a more hawkish side to the FOMC than has been presented from Yellen’s recent public commentary. Judging by the trading patterns on previous FOMC minutes days, the minutes have been a bridge between the…

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Added by Daologic on July 9, 2014 at 8:25am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 08.07.2014

EUR has stopped for a while the free fall, but it almost has no chances of any recovery to the upside as we have a strong resistance area built by several resistance lines. This resistance area is between 1.3630 and 1.3660. If we have any recovery into this area please keep in mind that the new downside wave may start at any moment. Upside reversal may happen only on a Daily close above 1.3680. If so, then the negative Daily Ichimoku will be inder attack and the target price will be…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 8, 2014 at 5:27am — 3 Comments

BNZ: NZDUSD- Sell the rally

Outlook: Sell the rally

ST Resistance: 0.8790 (ahead of 0.8840)

ST Support: 0.8700 (ahead of 0.8640)

NZD/USD looks to have lost its upward momentum, having failed to break 0.8800 for the second consecutive week. The big figure 0.8700 provides initial support, before sterner stuff around…

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Added by Daologic on July 7, 2014 at 7:00am — No Comments

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