All Blog Posts Tagged 'USD' (1,137)

TD Securities: Weekly technical outlook EURUSD

A drop under short-term support at 1.3870 should see the EUR ease back to 1.3775/00 at least.

 EURUSD is again testing the waters above long-term trend resistance of the 2008 peak after rebounding from weekly channel support at 1.3695. Gains may well be constrained by stronger (more recent, more…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 5:00am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 14.04.2014

EUR has lost almost 50 pips since Friday's close, seems that dollar recovery is going on at the moment. It can be stopped only above 1.3875 as the price is below that and below 1.3850 further downside is expected with targets below 1.3820. The pair is quite well supported around 1.3800 and any dips to there will be used to open a new LONG positions.

GOLD has bulit a new support at 1319 and as the price is above that more upside is expected. Next resistance is 1335, to continue the upside…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 14, 2014 at 4:31am — 2 Comments

RBS: Technical outlook weekly GBPUSD

GBP/USD –the price formed an evening star candlestick pattern (circled on the chart above) near a key 1.6812 resistance, being formed by the 138.2% Fibonacci projection from the Jul-Oct 2013 impulse wave. Also, weekly MACD had turned bearish, indicating a long-term change in sentiment looming. These signals…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 3:51am — No Comments

Rabobank FX Outlook 11/04 - EUR resilience again

"The EUR remains reluctant to yield ground

The buoyancy of EUR/USD has been a theme that has wrong-footed many investors over the past two years.  While we anticipated that USD weakness would allow EUR/USD to remain well supported in 2013, more recently we have been arguing that the improvement in US…

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Added by Daologic on April 12, 2014 at 5:00am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - The Week in FX - Dollar's desert exile soon to end

"Dollar’s desert exile soon to end For many market participants, there appears no end to dollar disappointment. For James Malcolm, this is the best reason yet to hope for a turnaround. He argues that the structural legacy long in dollars has washed out, and…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 2:30pm — 1 Comment

BBH MarketView: ECB Action: Just a Matter of Time?

"ECB Action:  Just a Matter of Time?

The Managing Director of the IMF and the chief economist are making no bones about it. More action by the ECB is inevitable. It is "just a question of timing," says Lagarde and "sooner was better than later", chimed…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 2:30pm — 1 Comment

RBSM: FX News, Themes & Views | US | 11th April

"Strategy

 Correlations between USD/JPY and Japanese equities have become more erratic. But Nikkei's 2.4% decline today brings Year-to-date falls above 14%. Anticipate more pressure on those sitting more in hope than expectation on remaining JPY shorts.

 Potentially a downside risk for USD/JPY next few days is a higher USD/CNH and USD/CNY. Levels of complacency have been running high that (a) the USD/China up move stalls…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 10:24am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - Early Morning Reid - Macro Strategy

"The yo-yo year continues as the S&P 500 last night sold off sharply (-2.09%) to yet again cross into negative territory for the year. We can't help thinking that as it becomes ever clearer that the Fed is pretty much fixed in its determination to stop QE late this year, the oxygen that has fuelled the 5 year bull market is slowly draining out of the market. Clearly the Fed is still…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 8:30am — No Comments

ANZ FX Insight: AUD downside options look attractive

"We recommend buying a 3 month 25 delta
AUD/USD Put.
Spot reference 0.9375
Type Put
Strike 0.9050 (25d)
Expiry 3 month (15Jul14)
Cut Tokyo 3pm
Premium 68 USD pips "

Daniel Been

Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 6:30am — No Comments

RBSM: Amplifying Global FX | Ukraine and China risks remain

"Viewpoint

 

With a strong run back towards carry trades and a weaker USD over recent weeks generating its own momentum, the market has perhaps ignored key risks that continue to brew. One is Ukraine another is Chinese growth and property market slowdown. Improving US labor market indicators (strong jobless claims) also work against the Fed easier for longer view. Threats of gas supply cuts by Russia and weak Chinese imports may…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 6:22am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.04.2014

Full text here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3890 SL 1.3875 TP 1.3925-1.3950-1.3965-1.3985

SHORT EUR below 1.3950 SL 1.3965 TP 1.3890-1.3850-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1315 TP 1322-1328-1332-1342

SHORT GOLD below 1310 SL 1313 TP 1302-1299

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 11, 2014 at 5:10am — 4 Comments

TD: FX and Commodities Weekly-Canadian Dollar

"Short-term Gain, Longer-term Pain for the CAD

A difficult year just got a little harder for many FX market participants. Consensus trades that prevailed through Q1 – especially the short CAD trade – have unraveled as Q2 gets underway. Investors who were anxious to buy the dip to 1.10 as USDCAD pushed through 1.12 earlier in March have pulled in their bullish horns and bear claws are being sharpened as USDCAD traded to a fresh 2014 low below

1.09 this…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 5:00am — No Comments

TD:FX and Commodities Weekly-Recent Trade Recommendations

"OPEN TRADE – March 27

Sell EURAUD at 1.4839

Target of 1.45; Stop of 1.4839 (revised)

There is a window for the AUD to overshoot and the

EUR’s topside potential should be severely limited by

the ECB lifting the FX issue to front and centre of its

policy communication strategy. We have dropped the

stop on this trade to cost though as equity market

volatility may limit the shelf life of this trade.

CLOSED…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 4:30am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook-USDCAD: Slides Below Key Support

"USDCAD: Slides Below Key Support…

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

BMO FX Strategy Daily: USDCAD

"From the Spot Desk

 …

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 11:00am — No Comments

Rabobank FX: EUR - What crisis?

"EUR – what crisis?

Looking ahead, we expect the EUR to retain its resilient tone, even though there is a risk that…

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 9:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 10.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3820 SL 1.3805 TP 1.3870-1.3890-1.3925

SHORT EUR below 1.3960 SL 1.3975 TP 1.3900-1.3870-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1314 TP 1326-1332-1345-1352

SHORT GOLD below 1308 SL 1312 TP 1299-1292-1286

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 10, 2014 at 5:04am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook - USDCAD: Steadies Around Key Support

"USDCAD: Steadies Around Key Support…

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Added by Daologic on April 9, 2014 at 12:30pm — No Comments

RBSM: Amplifying Global FX | re-engagement with emerging markets, China risks remain

"Viewpoint

 

We are in the midst of a powerful re-engagement with emerging markets after a year of under-performance. The USD is broadly under pressure. While the US rates outlook has not changed much recently, the USD is still largely winning the race to the bottom among major currencies. EUR continues to benefit from narrowing periphery spreads, the GBP is benefiting from its higher yields and lacking the dovish punch of the…

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Added by Daologic on April 9, 2014 at 4:32am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook-FX Set-up: EUR Fades ECB-induced Weakness

"FX Set-up: EUR Fades ECB-induced Weakness…

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Added by Daologic on April 8, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

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