All Blog Posts Tagged 'USD' (1,133)

Deutsche Bank - The Week in FX - Dollar's desert exile soon to end

"Dollar’s desert exile soon to end For many market participants, there appears no end to dollar disappointment. For James Malcolm, this is the best reason yet to hope for a turnaround. He argues that the structural legacy long in dollars has washed out, and…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 2:30pm — 1 Comment

BBH MarketView: ECB Action: Just a Matter of Time?

"ECB Action:  Just a Matter of Time?

The Managing Director of the IMF and the chief economist are making no bones about it. More action by the ECB is inevitable. It is "just a question of timing," says Lagarde and "sooner was better than later", chimed…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 2:30pm — 1 Comment

RBSM: FX News, Themes & Views | US | 11th April

"Strategy

 Correlations between USD/JPY and Japanese equities have become more erratic. But Nikkei's 2.4% decline today brings Year-to-date falls above 14%. Anticipate more pressure on those sitting more in hope than expectation on remaining JPY shorts.

 Potentially a downside risk for USD/JPY next few days is a higher USD/CNH and USD/CNY. Levels of complacency have been running high that (a) the USD/China up move stalls…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 10:24am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - Early Morning Reid - Macro Strategy

"The yo-yo year continues as the S&P 500 last night sold off sharply (-2.09%) to yet again cross into negative territory for the year. We can't help thinking that as it becomes ever clearer that the Fed is pretty much fixed in its determination to stop QE late this year, the oxygen that has fuelled the 5 year bull market is slowly draining out of the market. Clearly the Fed is still…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 8:30am — No Comments

ANZ FX Insight: AUD downside options look attractive

"We recommend buying a 3 month 25 delta
AUD/USD Put.
Spot reference 0.9375
Type Put
Strike 0.9050 (25d)
Expiry 3 month (15Jul14)
Cut Tokyo 3pm
Premium 68 USD pips "

Daniel Been

Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 6:30am — No Comments

RBSM: Amplifying Global FX | Ukraine and China risks remain

"Viewpoint

 

With a strong run back towards carry trades and a weaker USD over recent weeks generating its own momentum, the market has perhaps ignored key risks that continue to brew. One is Ukraine another is Chinese growth and property market slowdown. Improving US labor market indicators (strong jobless claims) also work against the Fed easier for longer view. Threats of gas supply cuts by Russia and weak Chinese imports may…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 6:22am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.04.2014

Full text here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3890 SL 1.3875 TP 1.3925-1.3950-1.3965-1.3985

SHORT EUR below 1.3950 SL 1.3965 TP 1.3890-1.3850-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1315 TP 1322-1328-1332-1342

SHORT GOLD below 1310 SL 1313 TP 1302-1299

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 11, 2014 at 5:10am — 4 Comments

TD: FX and Commodities Weekly-Canadian Dollar

"Short-term Gain, Longer-term Pain for the CAD

A difficult year just got a little harder for many FX market participants. Consensus trades that prevailed through Q1 – especially the short CAD trade – have unraveled as Q2 gets underway. Investors who were anxious to buy the dip to 1.10 as USDCAD pushed through 1.12 earlier in March have pulled in their bullish horns and bear claws are being sharpened as USDCAD traded to a fresh 2014 low below

1.09 this…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 5:00am — No Comments

TD:FX and Commodities Weekly-Recent Trade Recommendations

"OPEN TRADE – March 27

Sell EURAUD at 1.4839

Target of 1.45; Stop of 1.4839 (revised)

There is a window for the AUD to overshoot and the

EUR’s topside potential should be severely limited by

the ECB lifting the FX issue to front and centre of its

policy communication strategy. We have dropped the

stop on this trade to cost though as equity market

volatility may limit the shelf life of this trade.

CLOSED…

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Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 4:30am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook-USDCAD: Slides Below Key Support

"USDCAD: Slides Below Key Support…

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

BMO FX Strategy Daily: USDCAD

"From the Spot Desk

 …

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 11:00am — No Comments

Rabobank FX: EUR - What crisis?

"EUR – what crisis?

Looking ahead, we expect the EUR to retain its resilient tone, even though there is a risk that…

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 9:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 10.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3820 SL 1.3805 TP 1.3870-1.3890-1.3925

SHORT EUR below 1.3960 SL 1.3975 TP 1.3900-1.3870-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1314 TP 1326-1332-1345-1352

SHORT GOLD below 1308 SL 1312 TP 1299-1292-1286

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 10, 2014 at 5:04am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook - USDCAD: Steadies Around Key Support

"USDCAD: Steadies Around Key Support…

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Added by Daologic on April 9, 2014 at 12:30pm — No Comments

RBSM: Amplifying Global FX | re-engagement with emerging markets, China risks remain

"Viewpoint

 

We are in the midst of a powerful re-engagement with emerging markets after a year of under-performance. The USD is broadly under pressure. While the US rates outlook has not changed much recently, the USD is still largely winning the race to the bottom among major currencies. EUR continues to benefit from narrowing periphery spreads, the GBP is benefiting from its higher yields and lacking the dovish punch of the…

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Added by Daologic on April 9, 2014 at 4:32am — No Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook-FX Set-up: EUR Fades ECB-induced Weakness

"FX Set-up: EUR Fades ECB-induced Weakness…

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Added by Daologic on April 8, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

BMO FX Strategy Daily-

"Strategy Comment…

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Added by Daologic on April 8, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 08.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3760 SL 1.3745 TP 1.3790-1.3820-1.3845

SHORT EUR below 1.3720 SL 1.3735 TP 1.3690-1.3660-1.3630

LONG GOLD above 1299 SL 1296 TP 1307-1312-1318

LONG GOLD above 1290 SL 1287 TP 1300-1305

SHORT GOLD below 1289 SL1292 TP 1278-1270 

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 8, 2014 at 5:38am — No Comments

RBSM: Global Currency Themes for the Week | Still Accumulating USDs

"Trading Strategy | Continue to look for opportunities to accumulate dollars as the data challenge the Fed's push back on higher market interest rates. Add GBP/USD shorts to existing USD/CHF longs on evidence of widening imbalances and slowing UK growth. Stay short EUR/USD after last week's soft Euro area CPI report and dovish ECB. Add on a break of 1.3645. Square tactical long USD/SEK exposure ahead of this week's Riksbank meeting, but…

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Added by Daologic on April 7, 2014 at 12:30pm — No Comments

USDCAD - Selling to deepen.

The setback from this year’s high continued last week with an expected 2nd down week in a row. This move lower, dominated by selling at the beginning and end of the week, took USDCAD to 4 week lows and consolidated prices within the Ichimoku Cloud. These are not strong signals but supported by negative 3cA studies and with the 13 day m.a capping we look for the downside to develop with potential to 1.0911 and 1.0870.…

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Added by Alan Collins on April 7, 2014 at 7:29am — No Comments

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