All Blog Posts Tagged 'Mansoor Mohi-Uddin' (14)

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: ECB to cut deposit rate below zero in the week ahead

UBS - "The European Central Bank will be the focus in the week ahead, eclipsing the Bank of England, Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of Canada policy decisions and America's ISM and payrolls releases. The risk of the ECB pursuing negative interest rates or expanding its balance sheet is set to keep the euro trading heavily into the Governing Council meeting. But the franc may incur more volatility in June if the Swiss National Bank matches any ECB decision to cut deposit rates below zero.…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 2, 2014 at 9:30am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: ECB speakers to keep euro a sell on rallies

UBS - "Financial markets are giving out inconsistent signals. A firmer yen, stronger Treasuries and bunds, weaker Eurozone peripheral bonds and lower stocks point to increased risk aversion. But the Swiss franc is weakening while commodity currencies are stable. The major currencies are more likely still to be driven by shifts in monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is set to keep tapering, helping the dollar recover from this year's lows. The likelihood of European Central Bank easing next…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on May 19, 2014 at 10:08am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: A Key Week For The Dollar

UBS - "The dollar continues to trade at weak levels against the euro, pound and Swiss franc as the Federal Reserve is still printing money and buying bonds. In the week ahead the Federal Open Market Committee is likely to taper its asset purchases by another $10bn to $45bn a month. We expect the greenback to rise across the board as the end of quantitative easing comes into sight by the autumn. But this month's FOMC decision may only provide marginal support to the dollar as the Fed will…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on April 28, 2014 at 9:19am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: FOMC minutes due in the week ahead

UBS - "The foreign exchange markets reacted to America's March employment report by favouring higher-yielding emerging markets and commodity currencies. But US data is unlikely to remain 'not too hot' to spur fears of Federal Reserve tightening and 'not too cold' to raise concerns about the recovery. Instead Friday's payrolls report clearly showed America's economy emerging from the winter slowdown. The Fed is thus on track to finish tapering its bond purchases by the autumn, raising the…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on April 8, 2014 at 10:37am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: Stronger data challenging Fed's forecasts

UBS - "In the next three months the Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and the Banks of Japan and England will all publish new economic projections. The upcoming forecast rounds will be important for currencies as they have the potential to shift the course of monetary policy across the major economies.

(...) This week's key points for currencies are:

- stronger data challenging Fed's forecasts

- ECB to keep explicit easing bias in the week ahead

- Japanese CPI…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on February 3, 2014 at 11:46am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: Fed officials look through December's payrolls

UBS - "The search for inflation is becoming central to currency markets (...) In the week ahead, Canada, Australia and New Zealand all release their latest consumer price indices. The Bank of Canada also meets. We expect no change in policy but a weaker than consensus inflation print will increase expectations the BoC may cut its overnight rate from 1.00% later in the year. Australia's CPI release will also be closely followed after December's weaker than anticipated payrolls report. In…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on January 20, 2014 at 10:31am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: Fed Increasingly Close to Tapering, Don't Sell Dollars

UBS - "Financial markets expect the Federal Reserve will continue purchasing $85bn a month of assets until its March 18-19 Open Market Committee meeting. Friday's employment report showed November payrolls growth again exceeded 200k. But the dollar lost ground against the euro, pound, Swiss franc and commodity currencies while the S&P rose 1.1% to 1805. Stronger growth prospects supported the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Expectations the Fed will still delay tapering pushed the…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on December 10, 2013 at 12:26pm — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: When Doves Cry

UBS - "In the week ahead, most of the Fed's doves including Chairman Bernanke, New York Fed President Dudley, current FOMC voting members Evans, Rosengren and Bullard, and non-voting FOMC member Kocherlakota - are scheduled to speak. In addition, the October 29-30 FOMC meeting minutes will be released. Together, the upcoming communications will provide more insight into whether policymakers are willing to consider tapering as early as the December 17-18 FOMC meeting.

UBS Economics…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on November 18, 2013 at 12:01pm — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: Payrolls still key for dollar despite geopolitical risks

UBS - "The new month starts with a high degree of event risk. The US may launch strikes against Syria as early as this weekend. In the week ahead, the European Central Bank, the Banks of Japan, England and Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Riksbank all hold policy meetings. The US August payrolls report is due at the end of the week, and emerging market currencies are likely to face further pressure if America's employment data suggest the Federal Reserve will agree this month to…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on September 2, 2013 at 9:59am — No Comments

UBS - Several Major Currencies Close to Important Turning Points

UBS - "Several of the world's major currencies are experiencing or are close to important turning points. The dollar is starting to trend higher following Chairman Bernanke's suggestion after the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting that the central bank may taper its asset purchases later this year. Similarly, the yen, despite volatility over the last few weeks, is set to trend lower following the Bank of Japan's decision on April 4 to double the monetary base. Our view that the…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on July 1, 2013 at 2:50pm — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: Buy Dollar dips again even though Fed tapering isn't imminent

UBS - "Currency markets face three key events for the rest of June. The Bank of Japan meets on June 11, under pressure to take further measures to reduce volatility in JGB and stock markets. The Federal Open Market Committee holds its next meeting on June 18-19. Last, on June 27-28 European Union leaders will discuss further steps on banking union, ahead of a critical finance ministers meeting on July 8-9. If the BoJ is able to stem the plunge in the Nikkei, then further speculation about…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 10, 2013 at 10:22am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: G7 doesn't criticise Japan, USDJPY a buy on dips

UBS - "This week's key points for currencies are:
- several US data releases due but claims still key
- ECB to develop an exchange rate policy?
- G7 doesn't criticise Japan, USDJPY a buy on dips
- BoE Inflation Report key in the week ahead
- Swiss deflation, rising stocks to weaken franc
- buy DNTs as Norges Bank keeps krone rangebound
- expect more RBA easing now, stay bearish AUDNZD"

Added by Francesc Riverola on May 13, 2013 at 10:23am — No Comments

UBS - Draghi shows why euro bulls shouldn't buy EURUSD

UBS - "We believe euro bulls should buy euro crosses like EURGBP and EURJPY rather than EURUSD. First, the Fed is set to end quantitative easing this year. Second, Eurozone policymakers are more apt to comment on sharp EURUSD rises rather than increases in the other euro crosses. This was demonstrated by French President Hollande arguing 'the euro should not fluctuate according to the mood of the markets' and by European Central Bank President Draghi saying 'the exchange rate is not a policy…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on February 12, 2013 at 10:02am — No Comments

UBS - This week's key points for currencies: We continue to prefer the dollar amongst the major currencies

UBS - "We continue to prefer the dollar amongst the major currencies. Foreign exchange markets are already largely discounting the Fed easing policy further when 'Operation Twist' finishes this month. But they are not reflecting additional easing from the world's other major central banks in 2013. This week's key points for currencies are:

- dollar already pricing in upcoming Fed easing

- euro bulls should heed ECB, Bundesbank downgrades

- USDJPY bulls shouldn't exit after…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on December 10, 2012 at 3:20pm — No Comments

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