All Blog Posts Tagged 'GBP' (530)

FOREX forecast 02.04.2014

Full forecast is here

For today:

SHORT EUR below 1.3825 SL 1.3845 TP 1.3760

LONG EUR above 1.3730 SL 1.3715 TP 1.3800-1.3830

LONG GOLD above 1270 SL 1276 TP 1286-1292-1296

SHORT GOLD below 1285 SL 1288 TP 1271-1265-1260

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 2, 2014 at 5:54am — 2 Comments

JPM:FX Markets Weekly

"Macro Trade Recommendations:

Although higher US yields are only delivering narrow USD gains, it is too

soon to claim a game change or buy into the broad carry revival. Keep

selective USD longs (vs. EUR, MYR and PHP) in option form. CAD still

has medium-term downside but short-term upside: buy vs SEK. Stay long

a 1-yr EUR/CHF put and short GBP/CAD vol.



Technical Strategy:

The euro looks increasingly vulnerable…

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 1:00pm — No Comments

RBSM: Global Currency Themes for the Week | Gone Fishin' (for USD Longs)

Trading Strategy | Sell EUR/USD into the ECB on Thursday if Monday's Euro area HICP prints 0.5% yoy. We're reluctant to chase carry right here given what we think the Fed is telling us about their exit strategy and like to very slowly accumulate dollars. Start by buying dips in USD/CHF as Euro dollar Dec 15-Dec 16 futures are sold and implied yields rise. Consider adding USD/SEK longs given increasing risks that the Riksbank cuts in…

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 6:55am — No Comments

BBH MarketView: Currency Positioning and Technical Outlook: Greenback Mixed for Start of Q2

"Euro:  The combination of the dovish comments from ECB officials, where even the Bundesbank appears to have warmed to the idea of QE, and the somewhat more hawkish FOMC, has prompted some profit-taking on long euro positions.  The euro peaked just shy of the $1.40 level on March 13.  While Draghi's comments helped put the euro's top in, it was Yellen's comments that exposed the…

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 6:46am — No Comments

UBS FX Comment - Strong Dollar Time

"(...)

1. Strong payrolls would spark sharp dollar rally

In our view the dollar has reached a major turning point against the

euro. Since the summer of 2012 the single currency has traded from 1.20

to almost 1.40 as the Federal Reserve's third round of quantitative

easing led to its balance sheet expanding while at the same time the

ECB's contracted through banks repaying Longer-Term Refinancing

Operation loans. But the Fed's balance sheet expansion is now…

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 6:39am — No Comments

TD: FX CFTC Report

"CFTC Commitments of Traders Report - Week Ending Tuesday, March 25th

 …

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 6:25am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 31.03.2014

Full forecast is here:

http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/todays-forex-forecast/2014/03/31/



For today:

SHORT EUR below 1.3780 SL 1.3795 TP 1.3720-1.3700-1.3680

LONG EUR above 1.3670 SL 1.3655 TP 1.3780-1.3820-1.3850-1.3880

SHORT GOLD below 1304 SL 1308 TP 1290-1282-1275-1258-1254-1242

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1314 TP 1340-1352-1368



Good luck!



Feel free to… Continue

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 31, 2014 at 5:15am — No Comments

TD Securities:WEEKLY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK GBPAUD

GBPAUD remains at risk of a deep slide. Losses have slowed through the end of the week but trend momentum is bearishly aligned across the longer-term studies and monthly price action (bearish key month reversal is all but certain) suggests a major turning point in this cross. We look for limited gains (1.81/1.83…

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Added by Daologic on March 29, 2014 at 6:36am — No Comments

BBH CurrencyView: Dollar Firms As Euro Zone Data Disappoints

"The main impulse today is the heightened deflationary risk in the euro area, sparked by Spanish and German state inflation figures.  The euro area's flash CPI will be reported Monday ahead of next Thursday's ECB meeting.  Draghi's comments recognized that the euro's strength, while not a target of policy directly, was becoming a risk to the growth and inflation goals of…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 11:25am — No Comments

TD Global Daily – NA Open

"UK & Europe

EUR…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 10:27am — No Comments

ANZ:GBP/NZD WEEKLY BAR CHART WITH RSI AND SLOW STOCHASTICS

The risk of peaking in both GBP/USD and NZD/USD suggests that the cross could indicate which is more likely to retrace.

Momentum is (not surprisingly) relatively neutral. Price action looks decidedly corrective, but approaching the end of a minor leg lower which should likely be in the 1.8870-1.9140…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 7:52am — No Comments

ANZ:GBP/USD WEEKLY BAR CHART WITH RSI AND SLOW STOCHASTICS

The rally into a historic ‘sell’ zone (previous highs, retracements and measured moves) of 1.6450-1.7050 has encountered weekly momentum divergence and so near-term pullbacks need to be closely monitored.

Dips below 1.6425 could trigger a series of deeper retracements of the rally seen off last year’s 1.4815…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 6:04am — No Comments

ANZ:AUD CROSSES – A MORE MIXED PICTURE

"This forecast change does not shift our views on the crosses. Overall we continue to think that the AUD has based against the NZD. The AUD will begin to base against the JPY as domestic dynamics keep the JPY equally weak, while the broadly more supportive external environment will make the AUD depreciation against the EUR and GBP slightly slower.…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 6:00am — No Comments

ANZ:EUR/GBP WEEKLY BAR CHART WITH RSI AND SLOW STOCHASTICS

The steady grind to retracement support at 0.8160 occurred with a basing in momentum. The recent break above 0.8305 (declining resistance) is now gaining support from a potential roll upwards in momentum.

This break above 0.8305 could trigger larger up-moves (to mirror the rally from mid 2012), but the…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 6:00am — No Comments

RBSM: UK retail sales data - Unbelievable, certainly unsustainable

"The official UK retail sales data were remarkably (implausibly) strong in February, with volumes growth surging by 1.8% m/m (ex-auto fuel measure). This compared to the RBS and consensus forecast at 0.3% and was way above City forecast range: -0.5% to +1.0%. Volumes growth in the latest three months surged to 1.9% from 1.4% – the fastest expansion since before the crisis (March 2008).

 

The breakdown of the February data was rather skewed, which tends to cast further doubt on their…

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Added by Daologic on March 27, 2014 at 11:16am — No Comments

TD Global Daily - NA Open

"Asia

NZD Feb…

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Added by Daologic on March 27, 2014 at 11:05am — No Comments

TD Global Daily - London Open

"Asia…

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Added by Daologic on March 27, 2014 at 7:18am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 27.03.2014

Full thext is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3805 SL 1.3790 TP 1.3830-1.3850-1.3880

SHORT EUR below 1.3840 SL 1.3855 TP 1.3780-1.3750-1.3730-1.3710

SHORT GOLD below 1308 SL 1312 TP 1300-1292-1288-1280-1278

LONG GOLD above 1320 SL 1315 TP 1330-1336-1340

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 27, 2014 at 6:20am — No Comments

TD Securities: CAD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK

USDCAD dropped out of the low end of the past week’s consolidation range this morning but, so far, follow through selling interest has been limited and the market may be trying to trying to rebound from the low end of the gap left open by last week’s surge higher in spot—still support even though the USD move to fill…

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Added by Daologic on March 25, 2014 at 3:43pm — No Comments

FOREX forecast 25.03.2014

Full text is at the link below:

http://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/todays-forex-forecast/2014/03/25/



For today:

SHORT EUR below 1.3850 SL 1.3860 TP 1.3805-1.3780-1.3760-1.3730-1.3710

LONG EUR above 1.3710 SL 1.3700 TP 1.3750-1.3775-1.3805-1.3830

LONG GOLD above 1308 SL 1304 TP 1318-1326-1332

SHORT GOLD below 1310 SL 1314 TP 1302-1292-1287



Good luck!



P.S.… Continue

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on March 25, 2014 at 6:20am — No Comments

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