All Blog Posts Tagged 'GBP' (528)

RBS:Trading Strategy

"Trading Strategy: We like EUR/USD higher to tax ECB patience. A break of 1.40 looms. Cable can get dragged higher too near term as markets romance the idea that Bank of England can (a) raise rates before the Fed; and (b) subsequently tighten faster than the Fed. Long term GBP fundamentals are poor. We are sellers of NZD versus USD on any rallies to 0.87-0.90. We are sellers of SEK. In EMFX, we still like long USD/CNH for 6.30 then 6.40…

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Added by Daologic on April 22, 2014 at 6:44am — 5 Comments

FOREX forecast 22.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3790 SL 1.3780 TP 1.3820-1.3850-1.3880-1.3905

SHORT EUR below 1.3860 SL 1.3870 TP 1.3820-1.3795-1.3760-1.3740

SHORT GOLD below 1290 SL 1294 TP 1278-1272

LONG GOLD above 1295 SL 1291 TP 1302-1305-1312

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 22, 2014 at 5:16am — 1 Comment

RBS:Short-term cyclical vs long-term structural

"(...) Short-term cyclical vs long-term structural:

The markets' fixation with the UK's positive short-term data flow risks overlooking the still substantial structural imbalances in the UK economy: a bloated current account deficit (averaging 3.1% of GDP over the past four years despite subdued domestic demand), among the worst fiscal metrics in the developed world (a structural budget deficit of 4.5% this year – only Japan's is…

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Added by Daologic on April 17, 2014 at 9:28am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 17.04.2014

Full forecast is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3820 SL 1.3805 TP 1.3850-1.3880-1.3905

SHORT EUR below 1.3905 SL 1.3920 TP 1.3855-1.3825-1.3800

LONG GOLD above 1308 SL 1304 TP 1317-1322-1328

SHORT GOLD below 1304 SL 1308 TP 1294-1286-1278-1270

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 17, 2014 at 5:01am — 5 Comments

FOREX forecast 16.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3800 SL 1.3785 TP 1.3850-1.3880-1.3905

SHORT EUR below 1.3840 SL 1.3855 TP 1.3790-1.3765-1.3730 (use this if upside through 1.3850-60 fails) wait for mrs.Yellen's speech today

SHORT GOLD below 1304 SL 1308 TP 1290-1285-1278-1270

LONG GOLD above 1310 SL 1306 TP 1317-1321-1328

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 16, 2014 at 5:12am — 5 Comments

BMO FX Strategy Daily

"From the Spot Desk

Support 1.0950…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 12:00pm — No Comments

Deutsche Bank: IMM Commitment of Traders - USD turns net short, AUD positions flip long

"After seeing long positions cut for nine consecutive weeks, USD net implied positioning turned short for the first time in six months, moving from 4% of open interest to -5%. The TFF report showed that hedge funds increased short positions while asset manager continue to add dollar longs. Speculative EUR longs fell for the third consecutive week, led by hedge funds. Speculative JPY shorts…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 10:04am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 14.04.2014

EUR has lost almost 50 pips since Friday's close, seems that dollar recovery is going on at the moment. It can be stopped only above 1.3875 as the price is below that and below 1.3850 further downside is expected with targets below 1.3820. The pair is quite well supported around 1.3800 and any dips to there will be used to open a new LONG positions.

GOLD has bulit a new support at 1319 and as the price is above that more upside is expected. Next resistance is 1335, to continue the upside…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 14, 2014 at 4:31am — 2 Comments

RBS: Technical outlook weekly GBPUSD

GBP/USD –the price formed an evening star candlestick pattern (circled on the chart above) near a key 1.6812 resistance, being formed by the 138.2% Fibonacci projection from the Jul-Oct 2013 impulse wave. Also, weekly MACD had turned bearish, indicating a long-term change in sentiment looming. These signals…

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Added by Daologic on April 14, 2014 at 3:51am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 11.04.2014

Full text here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3890 SL 1.3875 TP 1.3925-1.3950-1.3965-1.3985

SHORT EUR below 1.3950 SL 1.3965 TP 1.3890-1.3850-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1315 TP 1322-1328-1332-1342

SHORT GOLD below 1310 SL 1313 TP 1302-1299

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 11, 2014 at 5:10am — 4 Comments

Rabobank FX: EUR - What crisis?

"EUR – what crisis?

Looking ahead, we expect the EUR to retain its resilient tone, even though there is a risk that…

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Added by Daologic on April 10, 2014 at 9:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 10.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3820 SL 1.3805 TP 1.3870-1.3890-1.3925

SHORT EUR below 1.3960 SL 1.3975 TP 1.3900-1.3870-1.3820

LONG GOLD above 1318 SL 1314 TP 1326-1332-1345-1352

SHORT GOLD below 1308 SL 1312 TP 1299-1292-1286

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 10, 2014 at 5:04am — No Comments

BMO FX Strategy Daily-

"Strategy Comment…

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Added by Daologic on April 8, 2014 at 11:30am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 08.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3760 SL 1.3745 TP 1.3790-1.3820-1.3845

SHORT EUR below 1.3720 SL 1.3735 TP 1.3690-1.3660-1.3630

LONG GOLD above 1299 SL 1296 TP 1307-1312-1318

LONG GOLD above 1290 SL 1287 TP 1300-1305

SHORT GOLD below 1289 SL1292 TP 1278-1270 

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 8, 2014 at 5:38am — No Comments

RBSM: Global Currency Themes for the Week | Still Accumulating USDs

"Trading Strategy | Continue to look for opportunities to accumulate dollars as the data challenge the Fed's push back on higher market interest rates. Add GBP/USD shorts to existing USD/CHF longs on evidence of widening imbalances and slowing UK growth. Stay short EUR/USD after last week's soft Euro area CPI report and dovish ECB. Add on a break of 1.3645. Square tactical long USD/SEK exposure ahead of this week's Riksbank meeting, but…

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Added by Daologic on April 7, 2014 at 12:30pm — No Comments

TD Securities: GBPAUD technical outlook

"We noted that an alignment of negative signals for GBPAUD (strong bear trend momentum, bearish longer-term price signals— Head & Shoulders bear reversal) put the cross at risk of a deep slide. Today’s slide to new lows for the year enhances the bear picture even more. We think the early 2014 H&S…

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Added by Daologic on April 7, 2014 at 6:09am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 07.04.2014

Full text is here

For today:

LONG EUR above 1.3700 SL 1.3685 TP 1.3740-1.3760-1.3800

SHORT EUR below 1.3740 SL 1.3755 TP 1.3690-1.3670-1.3610

LONG GOLD above 1298 SL 1294 TP 1308-1312-1318-1328

SHORT GOLD below 1295 SL 1299 TP 1286-1280

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 7, 2014 at 4:54am — 2 Comments

FOREX forecast 03.04.2014

Read the full text here

For today:

SHORT EUR below 1.3780 SL 1.3795 TP 1.3730-1.3700-1.3660-1.3630-1.3610-1.3585

LONG EUR above 1.3800 SL 1.3785 TP 1.3845-1.3885-1.3910-1.3950-1.3985

SHORT GOLD below 1297 SL 1300 TP 1290-1282-1278-1271

LONG GOLD above 1304 SL 1300 TP 1310-1316-1321-1328

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 3, 2014 at 5:00am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 02.04.2014

Full forecast is here

For today:

SHORT EUR below 1.3825 SL 1.3845 TP 1.3760

LONG EUR above 1.3730 SL 1.3715 TP 1.3800-1.3830

LONG GOLD above 1270 SL 1276 TP 1286-1292-1296

SHORT GOLD below 1285 SL 1288 TP 1271-1265-1260

Good luck!

Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on April 2, 2014 at 5:54am — 2 Comments

JPM:FX Markets Weekly

"Macro Trade Recommendations:

Although higher US yields are only delivering narrow USD gains, it is too

soon to claim a game change or buy into the broad carry revival. Keep

selective USD longs (vs. EUR, MYR and PHP) in option form. CAD still

has medium-term downside but short-term upside: buy vs SEK. Stay long

a 1-yr EUR/CHF put and short GBP/CAD vol.



Technical Strategy:

The euro looks increasingly vulnerable…

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Added by Daologic on March 31, 2014 at 1:00pm — No Comments

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