All Blog Posts Tagged 'EUR' (859)

RBS: Trading Strategy

"A smaller than expected tLTRO take-up and largely unchanged FOMC language wasn't sufficient to squeeze EUR/USD higher as we had expected, so we square tactical long EUR/USD exposure. We continue to hold strategic shorts looking for a move to 1.27 or below by year-end and 1.22 by mid-2015 as negative nominal rates are a powerful medium-term EUR negative. While the dust settles post the Scottish referendum we keep our GBP powder dry, but will look to sell EUR/GBP rallies. Data surprises may…

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Added by Daologic on September 22, 2014 at 5:58am — No Comments

Forex forecast 22.09-26.09.2014

EUR continues free fall and indicators on H4, Daily and Weekly are extremely bearish. Seems that still noone is going to take profit from Short, and this tells me that more slide is to come. Today mr.Draghi will speak, but tomorrow will be the PMI data release and if it is weak again EUR will possibly drop below 1.2805 support. On Wednesday we shall have the Germany's IFO which is expected to be worse than previous too. On Thursday the most important news will be the US jobless claims report…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on September 22, 2014 at 4:30am — 2 Comments

FOREX forecast 16-19.09.2014

EUR is in a consolidation mode again before the next slide down. Possible support that will stop the downside is 1.2600 and the final one is around 1.2300 but i doubt we shall reach there soon. There was a large amount of unexpected bad EUR news and it seems the things over the Atlantic are getting a lot better. It is expected the FED to make another stimulus cut from 25 bln to 15 bln. This will push the EUR even lower till the end of this week. Today is expected the Gernamy's ZEW to be a…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on September 16, 2014 at 5:30am — 3 Comments

TD: CAD technical outlook-15 september.

USDCAD

"We highlighted developments on the weekly chart Friday but it is probably worth reiterating what is going on here after USDCAD closed out the week at its best levels since March. The broader bull trend is slowly but surely getting back on track after the Q2 correction; that slide saw funds test, and hold, major support defined by the trend off the 2012 low and the 40- week/200-day MA. The consolidation since March formed a bull wedge and the July break above…

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Added by Daologic on September 15, 2014 at 2:55pm — No Comments

FOREX forecast 09.09.2014

EUR continues the free fall and nothing seems to stop it. Target is set to 1.2805 and even below to 1.2765. Correction higher is needed, but still noone takes any profit, this means they expect more drop.Correction will start once we have over 60 pips upside H4 candle. Indicators on all time frames except M5 and M15 are extremely bearish. Maybe today we shall see some profit taking.

GOLD again is hit by the strong dollar and reached the support area 1254. If we don't see any EUR…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on September 9, 2014 at 6:28am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 01.09.2014

Deeper and deeper EUR goes with another gap lower opening week. Finally the big players sold the EUR they have since close to 1.4000 levels. Where EUR is going to stop - it is not clear yet, but somewhere around 1.3066 we have a support area. We are currently some 200 pips below the weekly Senkou Span B price of the positive Ichimoku,however we have broken it lower too early and we have to make some significant correction higher before this break to be confirmed. The dollar is extremely…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on September 1, 2014 at 5:06am — 3 Comments

TD:CFTC Commitments of Traders Report - Week Ending Tuesday, August 26th

"CFTC data for currency futures through the week ending August 26th showed that investors and speculative accounts continue to bet big on an…

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Added by Daologic on September 1, 2014 at 4:42am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 25.08.2014

EUR dropped to 1.3185 this morning and opened the week with a huge downside gap. Today the pair may consolidate around 1.3200, and tomorrow to start a recovery. This week is the end of the month trade, so i expect some profit taking from Short after Wednesday. Weekly, Daily and H4 indicators are bearish but are already turning flat to bullish, so i think we are going to have a recovery soon, although opening with such a gap lower is not a good sign.

GOLD was not able to close the week…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 25, 2014 at 5:39am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 21.08.2014

EUR has lost almost 200 pips since Monday and the pair despreately needs a correction but still there are no any signs of a possible correction. EUR is in a free fall state, after bad data from the EU and Germany, and better news from the US. Dollar is stronger than ever but i wonder if this is a temporary strength or the start of continuous EUR weakness. The pair needs a correction at least to 1.3330-50, and maybe more next week. But first we need to deal with the 1.3290-1.3310 resistance…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 21, 2014 at 4:58am — 1 Comment

FOREX forecast 20.08.2014 in advance

After several failed attempts to break 1.3400, te EUR slided down below the 1.3330 support reaching 1.3312 by the moment of writing. The area between 1.3295-1.3310 seems well protected and it will be difficult to break before tomorrow's FED decision. I think that the market is currently consuming tomorrow's news. So it is quite possible to witness a risk aversion tomorrow, reaching 1.3470-1.3500.

GOLD is trying to stay above 1292 support but breaking below will increase the downside .…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 19, 2014 at 4:16pm — 1 Comment

FOREX update 15.08.2014

EUR did not succeed to close daily trade above 1.3380 the whole week. It moved in a small range between 1.3340 and 1.3415.Breaking of either will boost the further move in the same direction. However for now the pair seems locked inside.

GOLD has made a quick test of 1292 support but returnes fast above the previous 1305 support.Any drop below 1300 again may cause further drop to 1276 and 1254 for example.

NZD preserves the chances of upside recovery as long as the price is…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 15, 2014 at 4:46pm — 2 Comments

FOREX forecast 11.08.2014

EUR recovery has reached 1.3430 but the bullish power was not enough for something more, so the pair made a pullback to 1.3400, just above the support area 1.3380-90. Breaking below will test 1.3320-30 once again. We have a great chance for this because tomorrow's ZEW for Geermany is expected to be far worse from the previous value, and economic growth data for the eurozone on Thursday is also expected to be worse than previous. So i expect more slide till the end of this week.

GOLD…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 11, 2014 at 5:00am — No Comments

Old School- Trends and patterns

I am old school guys. I like wood and not plastic, glass and not PTF, the vinyl spinning on a platter and not MP3, analog and not digital. I am old school.

EURUSD Old School Style:

GBPUSD Old School, exhibit A…

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Added by Daologic on August 7, 2014 at 2:55pm — 6 Comments

FOREX forecast 06.08.2014

EUR lost 1.3400 again ahead of ECB meeting tomorrow. As i have said in my previous forecast we have two support areas below 1.3330 and 1.3300. Currently EUR is far below the negative Ichimoku and it is expected the pair to make a big upside correction till the end of this week. The recovery move may be a part of tomorrow's high volatility too. Daily indicators are negative while smaller ones are mixed to positive. To the upside recovery is limited by 1.3610-20 resistance and i do not expect…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 6, 2014 at 5:02am — 1 Comment

Be carefull, the rally in US equity markets is over.

Many analysts have told very clear that the US stock markets rally was a function of FED QE. Now that the FED is ending the QE by October, be carefull with the longs in the stocks. All good things must come to an end. The USD is already in a broader uptrend and it will strenghten more and more. Starting with October, with the end of QE the monetary policy will normalize, in spite of still very low interest rates.…

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Added by Daologic on August 5, 2014 at 5:34am — No Comments

EURGBP - Morning Star points higher this week

Although the bulk of last week's price action showed marginal movement, the week ended with a powerful move higher. Friday’s gains – the most aggressive daily performance since March – dominated price action breaking an important Marabuzo line, testing the top of a now rising Keltner channel and, most importantly, completed a Bullish Morning Star pattern on weekly charts. This formation often signals a complete change of sentiment and so we see potential through .8011 to .8050 with .8124…

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Added by Alan Collins on August 4, 2014 at 7:29am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 04.08.2013

EUR has made a small upside correction following 1.3370 drop from last week. The pair on Daily, H4 and H1 is bullish, but on other time frames is bearish. So i think that the current recovery is just a small correction and still we have no solid ground below. Such solid support is 1.3300, for nor this seems away below, but we have the ECB meeting this week and soon EUR may become under selling pressure. We have also the PMI, EU retail sales and Germany's factory orders this week too, so it…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on August 4, 2014 at 4:54am — 1 Comment

TD: Morning FX Outlook-1 August

"The USD is heading into the data carnival roughly flat, on balance, from yesterday's close, down smalls against the EUR, but up smalls against JPY, CAD, GBP, and the Antipodeans.  Having risen more than 2% in July and held on to gains after a relatively dovish FOMC statement, the greenback is well positioned to extend gains today, but it will require strong data outcomes to deliver moves of significant magnitude.  EURUSD…

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Added by Daologic on August 1, 2014 at 11:55am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 31.07.2014

Dollar gained much strength these days as FED continues to cut the stimulus program. USD has made significant advance against everything, but it seems that after yesterday's decision it is time for profit taking, so we have some pullback eveywhere. I expect the EUR to try to recover back to 1.3450-65 today or tomorrow. Another dollar push below 1.3375 may take the pair down to 1.3330. There we have a strong support area which is not going to be brokens soon, so you may enter LONG close to…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on July 31, 2014 at 4:56am — 3 Comments

TD: Morning FX Outlook EURUSD

"(...)

We still see downward risks for EURUSD outweighing upside potential, which should remain contained to the low 1.35 area at best and prove short lived.  Technicals indicate that, from current levels, only a move above 1.3550 on a sustained basis relieves the bear pressure while a rally through 1.37 is needed to turn the technical picture more constructive.  Contrarily, weakness below 1.3375/85 will imply that…

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Added by Daologic on July 29, 2014 at 12:02pm — 1 Comment

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