All Blog Posts Tagged 'AUDUSD' (533)

FX Light - AUDUSD Set-Up

"When offered quick profits, respond with a quick no". - Warren Buffett.

April 29th. Later this week we have a lot of key economic data for the US Dollar which has been searching for a bottom of late. While we may not find the bottom for the US Dollar and…

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Added by Gary on April 29, 2014 at 9:18am — No Comments

AUDUSD Weekly Forecast Apr 28 2014

Outlook in AUDUSD remains neutral with risk to the downside towards the 0.9137 levels , a break would open 0.8995 next . At this point I’d expect strong support from 0.8995/0.9137 levels to contain fall from 0.9460 levels and bring reversal , below 00.8995 will pave the way towards the 0.8889 levels before the next possible rise.

On the upside , resistance comes at the 0.9377 levels ahead of 0.9447 ( main) , stability below resistance levels will keep the pair under pressure , however…

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Added by Haitham653 on April 28, 2014 at 10:05am — 2 Comments

FX Light - New Zealand Rate Decision. What next for Kiwi.

“The composite profile of a losing trader would be someone who is highly stressed and has little protection from stress, has a negative outlook on life and expects the worst, has a lot of conflict in his/her personality, and blames others when things go wrong. Such a person would not have a set of…

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Added by Gary on April 24, 2014 at 8:56am — No Comments

FX Light - S&P Analysis

“The Trend is your friend except for the end when it bends”. Ed Sekota, Commodities Trader

April 23rd. So here we are back within a stone’s throw of all-time highs on the S&P again. The rally has been impressive and may have something to do with the fact that yield has…

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Added by Gary on April 23, 2014 at 10:25am — No Comments

AUDUSD Long @ 0.93760 and GBPUSD Long @ 1.67765

Taken two trades on AUDUSD @ 0.93760 and GBPUSD @ 1.67765 but GBP trade hit at Break even after taken few pips but AUDUSD hit its 1st Target and moved SL @ 0.94163, lets see how it goes now, this trade taken on re-test previous low and respecting trend support line…

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Added by Rocky Master on April 11, 2014 at 10:30am — No Comments

ANZ FX Insight: AUD downside options look attractive

"We recommend buying a 3 month 25 delta
AUD/USD Put.
Spot reference 0.9375
Type Put
Strike 0.9050 (25d)
Expiry 3 month (15Jul14)
Cut Tokyo 3pm
Premium 68 USD pips "

Daniel Been

Added by Daologic on April 11, 2014 at 6:30am — No Comments

ANZ:NZD & AUD: PICKING PEAKS

"NZD & AUD: PICKING PEAKS

NZD and AUD outperformed other major currencies in Q1’14.

Momentum divergence on their gains into April suggests that their most recent uptrends are now mature with rising retracement risks.

Breaches of near-term support could trigger some relatively deep pullbacks and dictate directional bias for the current month.

Even if support holds, the maturity of the recent uptrends suggests that new highs are unlikely to be sustained and would be seen as…

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Added by Daologic on April 2, 2014 at 10:37am — No Comments

ANZ:Sell AUD/USD with an initial target of USD0.90 and a stop at USD0.9340

"AUD IS PRIMED FOR A TURN

• Domestic growth surprises will be harder to

come by

• Positive international dynamics are well

priced into the AUD

• Sell AUD/USD with an initial target of

USD0.90 and a stop at USD0.9340

The rally from USD0.86 has been aggressive, but it has priced in US data disappointment, a re-rating of growth in Australia, and some expectations of a policy response from China. A shift in the momentum

of any of these factors will drive a…

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Added by Daologic on April 2, 2014 at 5:47am — No Comments

UBS - FX & Equity Flows - Inflows Buoy Sterling

"EURUSD: The pair itself was net sold, but flows through the euro overall

were finely balanced. Hedge fund sellers ran into corporates on the bid.



USDJPY, EURJPY: The yen was net sold in aggregate, but USDJPY flows were

flat.



USDCHF, EURCHF: The Swiss franc was net bought, both through EURCHF and

USDCHF. Turnover was only 82% of normal though, and hedge fund…

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Added by Daologic on April 1, 2014 at 5:29am — No Comments

AUDUSD Weekly Forecast Mar 31 2014

The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum as suggested last week , reached 0.9270 levels and topped a littlie bit above this level at the 0.9295 levels . To resume the upside offensive ; 0.9295 should be taken out , If seen It will target the 0.9447 levels , a halt is strongly suggested and the pair is likely to top around this level , If this resistance fails , expect the pair to strengthen further towards the 0.9622 levels , further upside will aim the 0.9757 levels.

On the downside…

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Added by Haitham653 on March 31, 2014 at 6:00am — No Comments

ANZ:AUD/USD WEEKLY BAR CHART WITH RSI SLOW STOCHASTICS

Rebounds off the ‘DEEP RETRACEMENT’ zone of 0.8550-0.8675 seem to be forming a correction, but one that is based upon a slide from 0.9760, rather than the 2012-2013 highs in the 1.06’s.

The current gyration between 0.8900-0.9150 is seen as an inner consolidation. Further slippage to 0.8900 may develop into…

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Added by Daologic on March 28, 2014 at 6:48am — No Comments

RBSM: AUD resilient to weaker commodity prices

(...)

In light of the fact that the market has sold AUD as a proxy for financial and economic risk in China, and may have been dragged further into these trades by recent weak news from China on both fronts, positioning is short and being squeezed by the slightest whiff of stability in China.

 

The weaker commodity prices are clearly a drag on income in Australia, exacerbated by a rising AUD that will hit profitability of miners and government revenue; the prospect of which…

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Added by Daologic on March 27, 2014 at 7:11am — No Comments

Rabobank FX: AUD - flight of fancy?

"AUD – flight of fancy?

AUD/USD is currently providing enough interesting signals to fascinate an army of technical analysts.  Not only does the 0.9140 area mark the humble 200 day sma, but it also…

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Added by Daologic on March 25, 2014 at 11:47am — No Comments

UBS:FX Morning Adviser -Technicals, Majors

"EURUSD NEUTRAL

With both the trending and momentum indicators below their respective

moving averages, there’s scope for more downside, with supports at

1.3722 and 1.3664. Resistance is at 1.3858 ahead of 1.3967.

USDJPY NEUTRAL Near-term resistance is at 102.79, a break above this would open 103.76.

Support is at 101.20, a break below this would expose 100.76.

GBPUSD NEUTRAL

Having tested this morning the support…

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Added by Daologic on March 24, 2014 at 9:47am — No Comments

AUDUSD Weekly Forecast Mar 24 2014

The AUDUSD continued its bullish momentum last week , printed support at the 0.8995 levels . This development leaves the pair targeting the 0.9270 levels , a halt is likely , but break of the 0.9270 levels will turn focus on the 0.9430 levels , further out will aim the 0.9622 levels. Note that stability above the 0.9137 levels will accelerate the expected bullish move.

On the downside ,  support comes at the 0.8995 levels ,  stability above this level will keep pushing towards the…

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Added by Haitham653 on March 24, 2014 at 6:44am — No Comments

$AUDUSD- bounce?

Currently we are at 0.9070 after the bounce north of the trend line.  We are looking for a bullish continuation to the R4 .0.618 Fibo area @ 91.25. The average daily true range (ATR) for the pair currently is 110 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on March 21, 2014 at 12:55pm — No Comments

JPM: FX Markets Weekly

"All tactical and mostly idiosyncratic

Outlook:

After a dismal start to the year, FX volumes appear to be reverting to seasonal

norms, possibly because a few EM themes (Crimea, China) are advancing

more consistently than rather pedestrian G10 ones (US data, Euro area

deflation, Abenomics unraveling). It is too soon in the year – and too

dismissive of the US business cycle – to assume that the dollar will remain

this soft…

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Added by Daologic on March 18, 2014 at 7:02am — No Comments

UBS FX Morning Adviser: Technical FX-Majors

"EURUSD BULLISH

With bullish conditions in place, there’s more upside potential to test the

critical resistance at 1.4052. Any setbacks in the interim will be corrective

and limited to support at 1.3834 and then 1.3780.

USDJPY NEUTRAL The latest decline was staged from the important resistance at 103.65.

Support is at 101.20 ahead of 100.76. Near-term resistance is at 102.18.

GBPUSD BULLISH The recent setback doesn’t…

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Added by Daologic on March 17, 2014 at 7:46am — No Comments

RBS:Global Currency Themes for the Week | Yellen's Future Rewrite

"Trading Summary | While the air above is thinning, we hold to our long EUR/USD tactical view. GBP/USD has more upside and this may pressure EUR/GBP lower. European currencies remain favoured over Asia FX as investors chase risk adjusted carry returns in a vol crushed world. Stay with long GBP/JPY as the BoE falls further behind in the Race Not to Tighten First. USD/CAD to trade lower initially as spot catches up with rate spreads.…

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Added by Daologic on March 17, 2014 at 7:16am — 1 Comment

TD: Morning FX Outlook-FX Set-up: AUD Slips on Risk Off

"FX Set-up: AUD Slips on Risk Off…

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Added by Daologic on March 12, 2014 at 11:53am — No Comments

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