All Blog Posts (21,232)

Gold and Silver Outlook for April 15-19

The prices of gold and silver plummeted again during last week. Their decline didn’t seem to coincide with the developments in the forex markets but did coincide with the sharp fall of other commodities and equity markets.   The minutes of the recent FOMC meeting may have rekindled the speculations that…


Added by Lior Cohen on April 15, 2013 at 3:19pm — No Comments

Forex pivot points: Pivot points basics

Forex pivot points:  Pivot points are indicators developed by floor traders in the commodities market to determine potential turning points, which are also known as “pivots”.

Added by mc tvfc on April 15, 2013 at 3:00pm — No Comments

$AUDUSD- bounce or break ?

Currently we are at 1.0414 at  the .786 Fibo/trend wall.  Option 1) break down to the double bottom @ 1.0348.  Option 2) bounce back to the R5 resistance @ 1.0497.    The current average daily trading range (ATR) is 77 pips.…


Added by Scott Barkley on April 15, 2013 at 1:04pm — 2 Comments

Coffee with NZDUSD - 16/04/2013

Hello guys,

I would like of go long on NZD/USD because bears seems to weakening and a bullish reversal is most welcome. Head&Shoulders was formed after of deep retracement...

So,long @0,8466 with @0,86 ( pivot point) and finally @0,8650 will be my…


Added by Igor Titara on April 15, 2013 at 11:54am — 1 Comment

TD Securities - EUR/USD gains still favoured but track higher may become choppy

TD Securities - "EUR/USD has largely conformed to expectations (last) week, with gains through the 1.3050 area prompting the retest of 1.3100/20 that we anticipated. From here though, things get a little trickier. There is just about enough evidence now to suggest that further gains in EUR/USD are more likely than renewed weakness in the near term. But the 1.3120 area that we identified as a key resistance zone remains intact (daily close basis) and there is a distinct lack of alignment on…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 11:37am — No Comments

TD Securities - FX: CFTC Commitments of Traders Report - Week Ending Tuesday, April 9

excellent summary... good job!



TD Securities - "FX: CFTC Commitments of Traders Report - Week Ending Tuesday, April 9

· The week through Tuesday, April 9th saw speculative currency accounts make some notable adjustments to positioning in the majors, with exposure to several currencies pushing to multi-year extremes. On balance, the aggregate long USD exposure was reduced modestly to USD 17 bn (from USD 18.9 bn), by our calculation.

· A sharp…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 10:58am — No Comments

Wells Fargo - Monetary Base Effects: A Weaker Yen in the Coming Quarters

Wells Fargo - "With respect to the yen, the impressive monetary easing announced by the Bank of Japan this past week supports and perhaps enhances the prospects for a weaker ¥250 Japanese currency. The central bank’s announcement implies a pace of balance sheet expansion in excess of anything seen in Japan over the past two decades, and far in excess of the pace of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expansion. In addition, from a historical perspective, the trade weighted value of the yen…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 10:26am — No Comments

EUR/USD – Limited Losses as US Numbers Continue to Falter

EUR/USD is lower as we begin the new trading week. The pair has dropped below the 1.31 line, and was trading in the mid-1.30 range in Monday’s European session. After a busy Friday, which saw more dismal US numbers, this week is starting off quietly. Eurozone Trade Balance posted a higher surplus, beating the estimate.  In the US, the markets will be keeping an eye on the Empire State…


Added by Yohay Elam on April 15, 2013 at 9:52am — No Comments

Rabobank - USD/JPY resisting the rally

Rabobank - "The yen remains a safe haven currency. The tendency for the yen to strengthen in times of uncertainty is linked with Japan’s current account surplus. This has at times looked a little shaky since Japan’s 2011 earthquake and nuclear disaster given the necessarily of importing expensive fossil fuels. However, the government is aiming to re-start nuclear power and it could be years before Japan truly has to face the loss of its current account surplus. The implication is that it…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 9:36am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - EUR/USD the most difficult major pair to ascertain what it is trading off

Deutsche Bank - "EUR/USD is also in a technically corrective phase, and is the most difficult major pair to ascertain what it is trading off: risk or rates, buoyed by reserve recycling, or, buffered by EUR cross trades? The next level for EUR/USD shorts is near 1.3150, but this is a pair that is in search of a clearer rationale before positions will be put on in size. Lastly, negative views on commodities are much better played through commodities than commodity currencies that continue to…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 9:30am — 2 Comments

BBH - The Aussie should find support in the $1.0440-60 band and this will allow it to challenge its 8-month cap near $1.06

Brown Brothers Harriman - "The Australian dollar reached almost $1.06 before the unwinding of cross positions against the yen took a toll (as it appears to have done on the other major currencies as well to varying degrees). Some observers linked the heavier tone of the Aussie before the weekend to the slide in steep slide in gold prices.

While possible, our work shows a very weak correlation between Australian dollar and gold. In fact, on a rolling-60 day basis, using percentage change,…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 9:22am — No Comments

EURUSD Could Touch 1.2950 before Going Higher Again

EURUSD rallied more than 400pips over the last two weeks, but gains slowed down last week around 1.3130 swing established back from March. Notice that volume and momentum were decreasing in the last week despite higher EUR. Thats called a divergence which usually suggests a top or coming sideways prices. Ideally, market will make a deeper corrective pull-back in the very near-term within wave B) towards 1.2900/1.2950 support zone before pair turns higher once again for wave C).…


Added by Gregor Horvat on April 15, 2013 at 9:10am — No Comments

Danske Bank - Buy GBP/JPY and sell EUR/TRY

Danske Bank - "GBP/JPY - Scope for very significant longer-term recovery.
Strategy Summary - Buy on dips for gains to 168.15 and 184.00 initially. Suggest placing a stop under 137.90.
EUR/TRY - The head and shoulders neckline is being re-tested.
Strategy summary - Look to sell for a decline to 2.2880, then possibly towards the 2.2740-2.2605 area. Close shorts on a break above 2.3685."

Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 9:06am — No Comments

UBS - USDJPY Bullish. The latest setback is correction to unwind the overextended upside conditions

UBS - "GBPUSD NEUTRAL Critical resistance is at 1.5424. Support is at 1.5268 ahead of 1.5178.

USDCHF NEUTRAL There is a main support at 0.9230 – only a closing breach here would be a strong bearish development. Resistance is at 0.9340 ahead of 0.9375.

EURUSD NEUTRAL Resistance is at 1.3138 ahead of 1.3228. Support is at 1.2988 ahead of 1.2896.

USDJPY BULLISH The latest setback is correction to unwind the overextended upside conditions. Support at 97.13 should hold. Resistance is…


Added by Francesc Riverola on April 15, 2013 at 8:55am — No Comments

Intraday Usd/Chf

USD Pairs

Overall USD outlook remains weak relative to majors but currently Price Action and Support/Resistance indicate short term corrective move for most pairs. For intraday traders we recommend short term shorts or wait for buy opportunity at Strong Support.

Here is our technical analysis for Usd/Chf…


Added by Sardar Uddin on April 15, 2013 at 8:31am — No Comments

Aud/Cad Trade Setup for April 15th to 19th

Hello All,

As is our practice we bring to you a brand new Trade Setups at the beginning of every week. For this week of April 15th to 19th it is Aud/Cad. Here's our outlook for this pair for the week:

AUDCAD - Potential Trade Setup

High probability Short trade with trade quality of 75%

Double rejection at 1.07100 level provides us with "High Probability Short Setup." Candle formation suggests bears to gain momentum and test next support…


Added by Sardar Uddin on April 15, 2013 at 8:03am — No Comments

Weekly Outlook Video: 14/04/2013

Added by 50Pips on April 15, 2013 at 7:06am — No Comments

USDCHF First Target Update

First Target reached with the USDCHF...

Added by Successful Traders on April 15, 2013 at 6:41am — No Comments

Kumo with EURUSD - 15-19 Apr 2013

As shown on the daily chart below , the pair is so close from the kumo cloud around 1.3140 levels, at this point our choices, it might continue moving inside the cloud, or it may retrace to the Kijun Sen area around 1.2900/1.2980 levels where rejection is strongly suggested, to resume it weakness, it needs to hold and consolidate below the cloud 1.2900/1.2800 levels, If seen it would move towards 1.2700 levels ahead of 1.2650 levels. On the upside it needs to overcome 1.3140 levels, If seen…


Added by Haitham653 on April 15, 2013 at 6:30am — 3 Comments

Bollinger bands keylevel 1.3132 EurUsd,

this week low will be 1.3017 due to cyprus concerns.

Added by vishu on April 15, 2013 at 5:30am — No Comments

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