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Lesson 3 - Succeeding In Foreign Exchange

Why is trading so difficult?  Because you have to dismantle all the logic you have learnt to be successful.
 
Most people are brought up to be cautious.  We are programmed to look for signs of danger and avoid it wherever possible.…
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Added by Brian Kiely on March 28, 2013 at 2:30pm — 3 Comments

Deutsche Bank - Capital controls + political vacuum + weak growth = stay short EUR/USD

Deutsche Bank - "First, we believe the policy response in Cyprus has been very counter-productive. As of today, freedom of capital movement is suspended in Cyprus. Economic and Monetary Union across the entire Eurozone no longer exists.

(...) Second, we've been negatively surprised by political developments. It is looking increasingly likely that Italy will be heading towards a second general election, with an unpredictable…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 28, 2013 at 1:40pm — No Comments

$GBPJPY- breakdown?

Currently we are at 142.64  in a sideways pattern which is still bearish. A breakdown of the rectangle pattern targets the Support cluster and .786 fibo @ 141.50 area.   The current average daily trading range (ATR) is 201 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on March 28, 2013 at 1:03pm — No Comments

UBS - USDJPY Bullish, While 93.11 holds, there is potential for resuming upside; GBPUSD Bearish, The broader bear trend is intact and support focus is at 1.5027

UBS - "USDJPY BULLISH There is a major support at 93.11. While this holds, there is potential for resuming upside. Initial resistance is at 95.12, a break above would open 96.71.

GBPUSD BEARISH The broader bear trend is intact and support focus is at 1.5027, a break below would trigger deeper sell-off to 1.4832. Resistance is at 1.5207 ahead of 1.5269.

USDCHF BULLISH With trending and momentum indicators pointing higher, there is scope for further upside to resistance at 0.9567…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 28, 2013 at 1:00pm — No Comments

BBH - We suspect a cut by the ECB is more likely later in Q2

Brown Brothers Harriman - "We expect the ECB to leave the door open for a cut in its next meeting, but that it will not panic into a move. Current weakness of the euro-area economy is not unexpected, so the bar for a rate cut is high. However, if, as we expected, the weakness is more prolonged, then that could lead to a cut. In addition, it might not be growth per se, but the risks of deflation that drives the decision. German and French inflation is low and falling. Measured inflation in…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 28, 2013 at 12:50pm — No Comments

USD/CHF weekly analysis....line chart styleeeeee

Spotted this potential Head & shoulders pattern on USD/CHF weekly line chart...

IF this analysis is accurate. Euro will be pushing higher into…

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Added by Shaun Powell on March 28, 2013 at 12:24pm — No Comments

Eur/USD scalp trade (20pips) 28th March 2013

Ummm!!!! Maybe a morning scalp forming for Breakfast :O 

Click for Chart

Added by Jyotiprakash Pal on March 28, 2013 at 3:45am — No Comments

EURUSD - Intraday Strategy (28 Mar 2013)

Recommendations: SHORT positions below 1.2847 with 1.2735 & 1.2660 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.2847 will call for a rebound to 1.2890/1.2940.

Description:As long as the hourly close is below  1.2847,intraday bias is to the downside, an hourly close below 1.2750 will accelerate the downside move suggested for today towards 1.2735/660 levels,an hourly close above…

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Added by Haitham653 on March 28, 2013 at 3:00am — 22 Comments

Do You Want To Collaborate in the 1st eBook of Our Community... Let's Share Your Best Piece of Advise!

Hi everyone... call it maybe a silly initiative but I would like to involve you all in the elaboration of an eBook where all of you willing to participate can share your best piece of advise to FX traders.

My initial idea was to put together a nice compilation of experiences, advise and trading secrets of real…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 6:53pm — 12 Comments

Rabobank - Near-term we would be sellers of rallies in USD/JPY

Rabobank - "There is huge anticipation that Kuroda will kick off his term as BoJ Governor with a significant step-up in policy stimulus at the April 3-4 meeting. Earlier in the week we were given a taste of what this could be; Kuroda spoke about buying longer dated JGBs (to include 5 yr bonds) and also there have been hints of increased purchases of riskier assets. Bearing in mind the huge amount of attention that has surrounding the appointment of Kuroda and his reassurances about the…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 6:25pm — 1 Comment

Deutsche Bank - Tapering QE bond purchases preferable to a hard stop

Deutsche Bank - "there appears to be a growing understanding among the most influential Fed members that a tapering of QE bond purchases may be preferable to a hard stop. A Dudley- style QE ‘dial down’, with an option to dial QE back up on slower data, should in theory further curtail risk. In practice, it could underpin the broad risk cycle, but add to short-term volatility as the criteria that would motivate policy flexibility is unlikely to be transparent or predictable. Nonetheless, such…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 6:14pm — No Comments

EURUSD Midterm

Added by Kaushlendra Kumar on March 27, 2013 at 5:34pm — No Comments

FM: FXOpen Granted FSA License... A Good Piece of News for the Retail Forex Industry

This is good news for the Retail Forex Industry... We need more well capitalized brokers being supervised by "most reliable" monetary authorities like Australian ASIC, Japanese FSA or British FSA and we need to get rid of undercapitalized firms regulated by one one with a real interest to supervise.... Well done FXOpen!

Francesc

 

FXOpen Granted FSA License

by…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 5:05pm — No Comments

Mamma Mia 28/03/13

Hello Guys,

This is week is being interesting. At least, for eur/jpy cross.

Like expected the downtrend was followed up to 119,90 and i am waiting some fresh bounce for next 24hrs. H4 chart give us a hint that bullish pin bar will be formed soon and thus a new long setup could be done as well.…

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Added by Igor Titara on March 27, 2013 at 4:43pm — 2 Comments

BofAML - Endangering Eurozone Trend Growth

Bank of America Merrill Lynch - "In our recent work on trend growth in the euro area we already warned that the crisis had permanently damaged the euro area’s growth potential, unless economic reforms can boost investment and productivity again. In the absence of a considerable boost to economic policy, but assuming a standard recovery, Europe’s large countries trend growth would be lower at c.1.3% in 2015-20. But in our previous work we had assumed as a central scenario that the investment…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 4:19pm — No Comments

USD/JPY March 27th 2013 Intraday Trade (70 Pips)

No idea why i am not able to add the Image ( ADMIN can you make this link as Image,so everyone get a better view)

 link

Chart Attached

My Plan is Buy Stop USD/JPY 94.74 Stoploss 94.01 Target 95.50

PS : Cancel pending order if market touch 93.25 

Added by Jyotiprakash Pal on March 27, 2013 at 3:30pm — No Comments

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD daily candlestick has formed a bullish Harami. In a downtrend the bullish Harami signifies that the trend is coming to an end as selling appears to have been exhausted. Also a spining top has formed indicating little price action for the trading day. The Parabolic SAR has trigger a buy signal 2 days ago. But yesterday’s close for EUR/USD  is

BELOW its 200 daily moving average

BELOW its 50 daily moving average

BELOW its 20 daily moving…

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Added by Martin Kay on March 27, 2013 at 2:30pm — No Comments

$AUDUSD- breakdown?

Currently we are at 1.0438 after breaking through the uptrend line on the .214 fibo . We could do an abc correction here to the S2 @ 1.0409  A break down here though  would target the support @ 1.0409 and then the S3 @ 1.0354. We are bearish.    The current average daily trading range (ATR) is 62 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on March 27, 2013 at 1:08pm — No Comments

Blown Away! – The Euro is Collapsing

There is a big bear sitting on the euro.   Is it Russia! 

 

No it’s everyone who is fed up of being told fairy stories about stability, unity, co-operation and solutions by European politicians, the ECB and the IMF. 

 

Resolution by policy ineptitude can only bore the market into a…

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Added by Brian Kiely on March 27, 2013 at 12:43pm — 1 Comment

Deutsche Bank - Positive View on Equities

Deutsche Bank - "Our positive view on equities is based in part on an upside surprise in real GDP growth in the euro area, led by Spain and Italy. In February and March the PMIs have declined, and it is reasonable to question whether our positive GDP growth view is still valid. We believe that it is.

In our view, the fundamental case for a reco very is still strong. Credit growth remains sharply negative, bank regulations have eased somewhat, inventory de-stocking was even more…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on March 27, 2013 at 11:52am — No Comments

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