All Blog Posts (19,275)

The Lure of the Normal, Deflation and U.S. Monetary Policy

The Federal Reserve has been hinting at a 2015 rate hike since Ms Yellen’s first official news conference in March when she incautiously suggested  that the first increase in the Fed Funds rates could come ‘six months’ after the end of quantitative easing.  Ms Yellen used the mirror image of that formulation on Wednesday when she said that the Fed was unlikely to start a rate cycle for “at least the next couple of meetings.”

It is clear the Fed would like to start a cautious rate…

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Added by Joseph Trevisani on December 22, 2014 at 5:15pm — No Comments

$AUDCHF- turning?

Currently we are at 0.7990 after turning at the 0.500 fibo. We are looking for a continuation to the S6 support area @ 0.7874 with an overall target @ 0.7839.  The average daily true range (ATR) for the pair currently is 88 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on December 22, 2014 at 2:27pm — No Comments

Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Threatens Further Decline



GBPUSD: With GBP continuing to maintain its broader downside pressure, it looks to weaken further in the new week. But be wary of a recovery higher on correction. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5540 level where a break will aim at the 1.5450 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5400 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5350 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance…

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Added by fxtech on December 22, 2014 at 2:04pm — No Comments

WAVETRENDZ ANALYSIS

sell usdchf at .9813 stop loss .9846 tp .9549

wavetrendz analysis

Added by A PRASAD REDDY on December 22, 2014 at 1:53pm — No Comments

FX Light - WTI, EURUSD, Gold and some Fib Levels

Here comes Santa Claus….and the end of year rally in the equity markets. SPX prices are testing resistance in the 2067.90-79.60 area marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion and the December 5 high. A daily close above this barrier exposes the 50% level at 2098.60. However looking at the negative…

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Added by Gary on December 22, 2014 at 11:25am — No Comments

GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis: Correction Within Downtrend

Cable did not go far since mid November, so we believe that market just slowed down into a sideways price action which should not be a surprised if we consider that pair has been falling since start of July 2014. However, larger trend may resume to the downside soon, as we see prices in late stages of a fourth wave, so wave five could send pair even to 1.5350/1.5450 area in weeks ahead.

GBPUSD Elliott Wave Analysis…

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Added by Gregor Horvat on December 22, 2014 at 9:40am — No Comments

Forex & Futures Outlook

Added by 50Pips on December 22, 2014 at 8:25am — No Comments

WAVETRENDZ ANALYSIS

SELL GBP JPY AT 186.90 STOP LOSS 187.60  TP 184.20  

WAVETRENDZ

Added by A PRASAD REDDY on December 22, 2014 at 7:10am — No Comments

GBPUSD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations as on 22-12-2014



Great British Pound is range bound since last week and waiting for news to clear its trend. As we experienced that at the end of the year investors were confused. No big movement is expected even today.

Technical indicators are indicating mix behaviour and no clear direction. In h1 graph the prices are locked between triangles in h1 graph. The RSI and the Parabolic SAR Signal is bullish in h1 graph. Bollinger band is neutral. SMA100 and 200 are indicating bearish trend in h1 as…

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Added by Usman Ali on December 22, 2014 at 6:57am — No Comments

FOREX forecast 22.12.2014

Another week another fresh EUR low. The EU currency hit the 1.2220 resistance which is the Monthly SMA200 too. There are only a few trading days of 2014 and just one support standing - this is the area 1.2060-1.2080. Currently the pair is stongly bearish on all time frames an this state will remain until the price is below 1.2270 which is the first Daily resistance, the second one is 1.2320 and finally 1.2360-1.2385. Today is expected some worse data from Germany, and for the rest of the…

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Added by Vladimir Mihaylov on December 22, 2014 at 6:23am — 2 Comments

Day Trading key Levels 22-12-14

No big volatility is expected today, so set your Tp and sl short.

EURUSD:

Sell limit1.2265TP1.2200,SL1.2295,BOB1.2300

GBPUSD:

Buy1.5635,TP1.5675,SL1.5605,BOS1.5600

CL:

Buy57.70,TP59.20,SL57.30,BOS57.20

Gold:

Sell1200,TP1188,SL1205,BOB1206

USDJPY

Buy119.45,TP119.85SL119.05BOS119



BOB stands for break out buy and BOS stands for Break out sell. When a stop loss hit, this pending order will recover the loss. The TP for this limit…

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Added by Usman Ali on December 22, 2014 at 6:10am — No Comments

Gold 22 Desember 2014

Gold – Down…

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Added by Hendro Wafiq on December 22, 2014 at 1:31am — No Comments

The Week Ahead - Dec 22 2014

The Week Ahead - Dec 22 2014

http://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar/ ;                      …

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Added by Tony - FXS Admin on December 21, 2014 at 9:56pm — No Comments

Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Vulnerable, Reverses Gains 

EURUSD:  Outlook for EUR continues to point lower following  a reversal of its previous week gains the past week. However, a mild recovery higher may occur before more strength is seen in the new week. Support is seen at 1.2150 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.2100 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2050 level where a break will expose the…

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Added by fxtech on December 21, 2014 at 4:53pm — No Comments

USD Index Spot (Not the USDX)

The average of 6 major spot currency pairs against the USD.

More charts on:

www.2hedge.com/mmfxtrend.html

Added by Ron Schelling on December 21, 2014 at 3:23pm — No Comments

EUR/USD continuation of the trend.

It's now pretty clear that the larger impulsive wave 1/A from near 1.40 is still in force. I was too early calling the larger correction and that was indeed wave 4 of 5.

On the daily chart i have outlined the possible target for this impulsive wave to end. At 1.208 wave 5 would be 1.618 times wave 1 and this would be likely target for the end of larger wave 1/A.

When this impulsive decline is finally exhausted there is going to be a larger corrective move and if this whole move…

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Added by VIVAICO on December 21, 2014 at 9:10am — No Comments

Understanding the flow in the market can be difficult

We are all aware of the dangers of seeing in the charts what we want to see. But sometimes even if we have no bias it can be difficult. I am going to use AUDJPY to illustrate my point.

Looking at shorter time frames say H4 you should be convinced that price will continue its downward journey. Yes there is some resistance coming up at 96.500 area but the major one seems to be about 160 pips away.A short taken now will have a good R/R so all looks good for a short. The AUD is…

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Added by Oasis on December 20, 2014 at 3:59pm — No Comments

Target Trading in the Forex upcoming week of December 21, 2014

$EURUSD

What ProAct Forex Target Traders See:  We are currently sitting @ 1.227. A couple of different scenarios:  1:  bullish: This could be starting a head and shoulders pattern for a move  above 1.2500 would target the R5 Resistance @ 1.2615 and then the R6 @ 1.2870). 2: Bearish : A break down here would set up a nice move to the 2.618 Fibo @ 1.2109. The average daily true range (ATR) for the pair currently is 115 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on December 20, 2014 at 3:02pm — No Comments

Winning Trade on the 19th December

EUR USD 5 Min:

Setting the Scene:Price hit a double top (in the context of a larger bear move over the last few days) suggesting that this was a bear flag. Price then fell but then rose in a channel consolidating just under the double top…

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Added by Constantine on December 19, 2014 at 3:30pm — 4 Comments

EUR/USD bigger correction or not?

EUR/USD is tricky one to call right now. I am still favouring the corrective count because the low of the 5th wave has not been breached and the thrust from 1.257 was caused mainly on news.

I have taken account the alternative  which can be seen in the alternative H4 chart. This count suggest that the large impulsive wave is not finished and there should then be lower prices to come. The move from 1.257 would then be wave 1 of 5 and the next move is wave 2 to the…

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Added by VIVAICO on December 19, 2014 at 2:24pm — No Comments

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