All Blog Posts (13,092)

The Fed Balancing Act



Tomorrow the Federal Reserve will take its high wire act to new levels. It will attempt to convince the markets that the U.S. economy is improving but is not so improved that it can do without $85 billion a month in quantitative easing.…

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Added by Joseph Trevisani on June 18, 2013 at 10:29pm — No Comments

UBS - Buy USDCAD dips

UBS - "Any post-FOMC pullback in USDCAD towards strong technical support at 1.0120 should offer dip-buying opportunities for those looking to exploit upside potential into the Bank of Canada's July 17 meeting."

Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 8:49pm — No Comments

Latest on Ranking the Majors

Ranking on Major Pairs and Cross-Rates per June 18th.

The right column is the day before.

For more details click on the table.

Added by Ron Schelling on June 18, 2013 at 6:30pm — No Comments

GBP/USD _BULLISH-

Ok srs, stay focus

Bearish rally done, now the Bullish zone incoming 3H chart

Added by Víktor Andrés Amú on June 18, 2013 at 6:15pm — No Comments

Goldman Sachs - Expect broad Dollar weakness

Goldman Sachs - "Our core view over the medium and longer term is to expect broad Dollar weakness. This is due to the large structural deficits in the balance of payments and government budget that are likely to persist, and the easy monetary policy stance of the Fed. Despite recent speculation that the Fed is close to ‘tapering’ its asset purchases, in our view the Fed will announce the reduction of the rate of monthly asset purchases in December 2013, after which we expect the purchases to…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 2:25pm — No Comments

Societé Generale - FX Outlook H2 2013: Trades To Consider

Societé Generale - "1. Long USD into first Fed exit steps, vs most G10 and EM

G10 basket of choice for the coming month long USD vs JPY, CHF, EUR and CAD.

2. Sell EUR/USD after recent short covering - we still see 1.20 by end-2013

Sell EUR/USD into strength for a move lower over H2.

3. Buy EUR/CHF into weakness to position for long-term valuation mean-reversion

4. Take advantage of USD/JPY correction to reload high strikes

5. Buy NOK and GBP vs EUR

6.Long FX…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 2:09pm — No Comments

Rabobank - FOMC Preview: Taper talk, but no action

Rabobank - "Although we expect no policy action at this week’s meeting (June 18-19), the FOMC is scheduled to update its economic projections and Bernanke will hold a post-meeting press conference. The markets will follow the latter with even more interest than usual. While the Fed Chairman may attempt to give more clarity about tapering off QE3, it will be difficult to reduce market uncertainty because there does not seem to be a consensus in the FOMC on an explicit criterion for stopping…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 1:55pm — No Comments

$AUDUSD- back in trend?

Currently we are at 0.6464 after breaking back into the old trend.   Looking to continue down to the 0.786 Fibo (S7) @ 0.9398.  A break of that look for a double bottom @ 0.9326. The average daily true range (ATR) for the pair currently is 154 pips.…

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Added by Scott Barkley on June 18, 2013 at 1:14pm — No Comments

GOLD market is so silent

After few weeks I try again a blog about the gold. What I realized that very few talked about this asset in the last few month, One or two years ago each day all the media was full with gold news.By now the gold has been falling out completely from the focus of the speculators. I told everyone when I was I asked this is not a bullish market anymore. You have be flat or sell it, but don’t buy anymore.Generally I am concerned about the wholse commodity asset group, I guess they are no sexy…

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Added by BlindFoldedMonkey on June 18, 2013 at 11:30am — No Comments

Today's #day #trading outlook for #Emini S&P 500 Futures

Added by Jason Sen on June 18, 2013 at 10:31am — No Comments

Deutsche Bank - Short-end yields driving the Euro

Deutsche Bank - "US real yields have relentlessly marched higher since May. Some may be surprised by the recent ack of broad dollar strength, but one needs to recall that low real yields since late 2008 were manifesting themselves most in a weak dollar against commodity/$-bloc currencies (notably AUD and NZD) and emerging currencies. Therefore, a change in the real yield trend should most directly translate to dollar strength against those currencies, and indeed that has been the case. With…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 10:25am — 3 Comments

JP Morgan - The odds remain in favor of the broader JPY downtrend which is currently being challenged

JP Morgan - "As already mentioned in the FX weekly two weeks ago the broader JPY recovery pretty much materialized but given the decisive break of the Nikkei 225 below key-Fib.- support at 13000 (int. 38.2 %) in one go (wave A or 1) we have to expect an even deeper setback after a swift countertrend rally. If so though, there is a realistic risk that the JPY breaks key-resistances in form of internal 38.2 % retracements too, which would basically reverse its still prevailing down-trend. For…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 9:27am — No Comments

UBS - EURCHF BEARISH. A closing 1.2267 break would trigger deeper sell-off to1.2196

UBS - "AUDUSD BEARISH The recent sell-off has put our focus on the momentum tools to cross lower to indicate resumption of downside. Support is at 0.9416 ahead of 0.9326. Resistance is at 0.9666.

USDCAD BEARISH Our focus is on the key support at 1.0120 ahead of 1.0027. Resistance is at 1.0226.

EURCHF BEARISH The sharp sell-off is held by the support at 1.2267. A closing break would trigger deeper sell-off to1.2196. Upside should be limited with strong resistance at 1.2386.

EURGBP…

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Added by Francesc Riverola on June 18, 2013 at 8:20am — No Comments

EURUSD not only for today

Generally the EURUSD is massively bullish, this morning made a trap for short siders. After a while recovered pretty fast from 1,3325. Which tells me it is still so strong on the upside, so I bought it again at 1,3370, SL 1,3340, TP1,3393.

Our daytrading workshop is on skype. Skype name:…

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Added by BlindFoldedMonkey on June 18, 2013 at 7:58am — 2 Comments

Gold Daily forecast 18 06 13

Added by Naveed Anjum on June 18, 2013 at 7:33am — No Comments

USDCAD shortside movement

Yesterday we traded on long, today we need to short, This is the part of the business, get in, get out, being on the both sides of the market. setup 1,0180 SL 1,0195, TP 1,0165 beacuse we ar in contratrend, so must be more cautious.

Our daytrading workshop is on skype. Skype name: „Blindfoldedmonkey” or…

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Added by BlindFoldedMonkey on June 18, 2013 at 7:32am — 6 Comments

Daily forcast for swing trading as on 18-06-2013.

PLEASE LOOK AT TODAY SWING TRADING RANGE.

Instrument Trend Recommendation  18-6-2013

 

EUR/USD

 Buy above1.3345TP1.3380/3410,SL1.3310  BOS1.3299

GBP/USD   



Sell below1.5720,TP1.5650/20 ,SL1.5755 ,BOB1.5768

GOLD    Sell below 1384,TP1375/70,SL1387,BOB1388

USD/JPY

 

Buy above 94.75TP95.10/50,SL94.40 BOS 94.30

CRUDE OIL

Sell below 98,TP97.50/25, SL98.25 BOB 98.30



 …

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Added by Usman Ali on June 18, 2013 at 7:25am — No Comments

USDJPY long side

It seems technically all th JPY pairs weakening or starts to weakening. Therefore we opened a long position on USDJPY first.

Setup 94,90, SL 94,60, TP 95,30 in the daily trend.

Our day trading workshop is on skype. Skype name: „Blindfoldedmonkey” or go to…

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Added by BlindFoldedMonkey on June 18, 2013 at 6:49am — No Comments

Trading Ideas for June 18

eur/usd   buy  3388   buy  3321

gbp/usd   buy  5732   sell  5655

aud/usd  sell  9593   sell 9439

usd/jpy  buy  9535   sell  9434

Our daytrading workshop is on Skype, Skype name:  jonsproule

Added by Jon Sproule on June 18, 2013 at 6:37am — No Comments

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