"Technically, USDCAD looks to us like it “wants” to trade higher but is lacking incentives at the moment. Short-term trend momentum is positive, keeping USDCAD pinned up against short-term resistance in the 1.1020 area. A break above 1.1020 should see spot rally to 1.1070 or so fairly easily (the 40-day MA comes in at 1.1065). A high close for USDCAD…Continue
"(...) Short-term cyclical vs long-term structural:
The markets' fixation with the UK's positive short-term data flow risks overlooking the still substantial structural imbalances in the UK economy: a bloated current account deficit (averaging 3.1% of GDP over the past four years despite subdued domestic demand), among the worst fiscal metrics in the developed world (a structural budget deficit of 4.5% this year – only Japan's is…Continue
"(...)US housing sluggish to resume gains and is a factor keeping the USD from a stronger performance.
The NAHB US Housing market index, one of the most current/forward looking housing indicators was softer than projected and remained below the neutral 50 line for a third month in April. The housing market appears to have lost momentum since around mid-2013. Prices are still up significantly from lows, but activity growth appears…Continue