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Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"* Ops : H4 = H1588 - H4"
Jun 7, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"@Peter, tnx for ur time and explaining your doubt in detail. It not double counted. It might be needed to explain that In 3-month portfolio we are selling every one hour but we would close the positions after 3months. In this way we are having a new…"
Jun 7, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"@ Peter, dont worry about, Im here. If there is any mistake I would be responsible for. As u see my acc is with my full name with direct connection to my linkedin acc, so in few secs even my phone number can be found to claim about what I post…"
May 31, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"@ Romano I agree with u generally. seems there is a misunderstanding,  this blog post shouldnt be over estimated. As I already wrote for Talisman its a simple way to study a fact. Now I should add that a way to study a fact in general. Thats…"
May 31, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"@ Talisman , I hope I've got ur point right (if not pls tell me ) but if u mean how we recognize to open the positions here:  The assumption is USDJPY has sold every hour. the point is to understand if long horizon may bring more profit or…"
May 31, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"@ Peter , it should be considered that the cumulative result is 8 mln pips , not the average! its like selling USDJPY in the described order and then counting how much pip is left at the end of ten year period. Its so simple and and can be applied…"
May 31, 2013
Ali Karbalaee's blog post was featured

Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case

Trading currencies via online trading platforms has given unique opportunity to retail Forex traders to execute their orders with real time rates so fast and accurate. Even by applying programmed strategies it might be done faster than manual actions to click on sell/buy (soft) buttons. Technology has a key role to make a fast -actually very fast- environment for FX traders.In this environment opening and closing positions quickly is a popular method which is known in extreme cases with minimum…See More
May 30, 2013
Romano commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"Hello Ali, I must agree with Peter that this study is flawed but for different reasons. You cant know for sure what will price do, for example it could whipsaw for many months on even large TF and then results would be much worse. Your data are…"
May 29, 2013
talisman commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case
"it is very interesting, not 100 percent sure i understand totally,  but in my my mind you cant always make straight line comparisons. can you explain better how opportunities plays a role in your analysis?  peter is correct in always…"
May 29, 2013
Ali Karbalaee posted a blog post

Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case

Trading currencies via online trading platforms has given unique opportunity to retail Forex traders to execute their orders with real time rates so fast and accurate. Even by applying programmed strategies it might be done faster than manual actions to click on sell/buy (soft) buttons. Technology has a key role to make a fast -actually very fast- environment for FX traders.In this environment opening and closing positions quickly is a popular method which is known in extreme cases with minimum…See More
May 29, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies
"@ Brian , I really appreciate your supportive comment! At the beginning I was bit confused why this blog post has taken in the other way but I should learn to explain my stuff more clear, even in my mother tongue (Persian) .   Regard the Weber…"
May 28, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies
"@ Peter , the most important point for a retail trader should be making money, so if its working in ur own way, thats perfect for u! who cares about the tests and studies ;)  thanks for sharing the elements of ur strategy. I wrote down some…"
May 28, 2013
Ali Karbalaee left a comment for Oasis
"Thanks Oasis for welcoming msg...wish u good luck and great success  "
May 27, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies
"@ Peter, ur comment is really interesting. because it has a really special point inside. not just u, I have had number of clients among retail traders who prefer to have volatile market. because they are confident that they can get the market…"
May 27, 2013
Ali Karbalaee commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies
"@ Brian , tnx for ur feedback Maybe it should be added that I wanted to show how passive strategies may bring considerable loss even if trader could be both seller and buyer at the same time. some years ago around the time NFP news was releasing…"
May 27, 2013
raj patel commented on Ali Karbalaee's blog post Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies
"Hi Ali, step back and understand how these time frames are made. Weather it is 1 hour or 4 hours or 6 and 8 or 10 they all represent opinion of price. The entire basis of opinion is a black hole, so dynamic in its nature that even time cannot…"
May 27, 2013

Profile Information

About Myself
Born in 1984 in Tehran (Iran), studied Economics (BS) and Finance (MS) with deep interest about currency markets and FX products.

Most of my professional life has been in FX. Since Forex banned in my country , I could find the opportunity to study about currencies in more depth and apply some researches about FX trading.

LinkedIn profile: http://lnkd.in/TMY2xu
Trading style
Quantitative

Oooo... I had lost the access to my page. Luckily Forex Street supported me to rebuild my account again with same ID. I'm posting my blog posts again.

Ali Karbalaee's Blog

Time diversification and trading currency pairs, USDJPY case

Posted on May 29, 2013 at 8:09pm 8 Comments

Trading currencies via online trading platforms has given unique opportunity to retail Forex traders to execute their orders with real time rates so fast and accurate. Even by applying programmed strategies it might be done faster than manual actions to click on sell/buy (soft) buttons. Technology has a key role to make a fast -actually very fast- environment for FX traders.

In this environment opening and closing positions quickly is a popular method which is known in extreme cases…

Continue

How was January 2013 for EURUSD?!

Posted on May 24, 2013 at 7:30pm 0 Comments

Recently I have been studying currency pairs’ behaviors in different months and Im trying to see if there are any significant difference, decency and some other weird things ;) between the months in FX Market. Here Im simply considering EURUSD daily return in the month of January during 2002 - 2013. It should be added that daily return is counted base on the difference between Close Price Day2 and Day1, then Average of whole month, plus Standard Deviation (as the risk measure) and…

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EUR/USD, anomalies and December effect

Posted on May 24, 2013 at 7:30pm 0 Comments

Anomalies in financial markets are interesting subjects which have been studied by practitioners and researchers in different markets. Same story exist for currencies and I tried to replicate the effect of December (last month of the year) on EurUsd pair, base on January 2002- November 2012 daily market rates.



During the last decade daily fluctuations of EurUsd in December sometimes has been less than the rest of the year and sometimes it has been higher. To compare December…

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Neither Buy Nor Sell, Damn Currencies

Posted on May 24, 2013 at 7:30pm 10 Comments

Have you ever wondered if average price of currency pairs may be indicative? Is it a right estimator?

   To apply some classic trading strategies in Retail Forex I have been working on 4 major pairs, EURUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF and GBPUSD since last year. Due to my work I found some characteristics about currencies which might be useful for day trading in retail Forex.

One of these characteristics is about having zero mean (average) in 4H time frame. I studied 4 majors during Jan…

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Comment Wall (1 comment)

At 10:23pm on May 25, 2013, Oasis said…

Welcome Ali. Romano is right - You will have a lot in common with Brian and may end up making this forum the forexstreet university.

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