A sequence of 3 up weeks ended with strong selling last week - emphasising the importance of a 50% correction point. There are 3 main reasons we look for the downside to extend.
1) Prices are 'hugging the lower end of a negative Keltner channel. 2) The key 13 day moving average is capping rallies.
3) CHF showing broad strength.
Potential for .8712 and .8676.…Continue
Monday’s failure at the top of the Ichimoku Cloud proved important yesterday as selling interest returned to the cross. The resulting strong decline- the most aggressive of this month – took EURGBP through the bottom of the Cloud and to the most negative levels for 5 weeks. Intraday signals for sentiment are oversold but rallies should now be temporary and limited with potential to .8215, then .8189.…Continue
The setback from this year’s high continued last week with an expected 2nd down week in a row. This move lower, dominated by selling at the beginning and end of the week, took USDCAD to 4 week lows and consolidated prices within the Ichimoku Cloud. These are not strong signals but supported by negative 3cA studies and with the 13 day m.a capping we look for the downside to develop with potential to 1.0911 and 1.0870.…Continue
A sequence of 3 down days ended Mon as profit taking developed at the bottom of the Keltner channel. Gains were limited, after a negative gap on the open, and unable to regain any significant portion of Fri’s decline. This, despite minor gains in Asia, reflects the weakness of demand and while early gains are probable we look for them to be limited. So scope through .8761 to .8739 or even .8712.…Continue