Alan Collins
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Alan Collins posted blog posts
Feb 20
Alan Collins's blog post was featured

GBPJPY - Continued Demand Targets 148.00/30

A strong up-move yesterday saw losses from last Friday recovered, with the market moving to almost the high of last week. This has seen an improvement in sentiment, and will encourage investors to remain positive. However, the strong recovery has been partly corrected in overnight trading, and whilst below 148.00, some indecision is likely. In light of this signals are positive with scope for 148.00/30 area.…See More
Feb 12
Alan Collins posted a blog post

EURGBP - Decline to deepen this week

Last week saw an end to a sequence of 4 positive weekly performances and a complete change in investor sentiment.The resulting deterioration was the most aggressive for more than 2 years with the preceding week's entire upside reversed- sold at lower levels on each day. This move emphasised the importance of the failure to test a key 76% recovery point and with prices now hugging the lower end of the Keltner channel we look for a bearish trend to develop.Allowing for initial profit taking,…See More
Feb 11
Alan Collins posted a blog post

EURGBP - Reversal to Deepen, temporarily

Friday’s gains were entirely reversed by profit taking yesterday. Steady selling throughout the day was as strong as Friday’s rise and these conflicting sharp moves make signals for sentiment difficult to determine with conviction. However with selling pressure deepening in Asia there is no sign yet that yesterday's decline has based.So the tone is assessed as Bearish but with the potential for an early rally to .8580, the overnight top. The immediate target is.8539. A move through that point…See More
Feb 5
Alan Collins posted a blog post

USDCHF - Rallies to be Sold this week

The importance of the selling interest at a 62% recovery point proved correct last week as a powerful decline developed that took USDCHF to the most negative levels traded for 10-months.This decline was dominated by CHF strength in the middle of the week and the lows were rejected Friday by profit taking. However while we expect volatility due to CHF movements to continue, the underlying tone is assessed as negative – as reflected by momentum.So while we would allow room to Sell a Rally to…See More
Feb 4
Alan Collins posted a blog post

EURGBP - To Top Above .8600

The last 4 days have seen consolidation around .8600 after Monday's gains extended the last 3 weeks of upside.However the last 3 days have seen consolidation and a growing divergence in momentum that should be a warning sign to bulls.Despite gains overnight we look for a more significant corrective move back towards .8528.Only hourly close beyond .8607 negates that view.…See More
Feb 1
Alan Collins commented on Alan Collins's blog post USDCHF - Weak ralllies - .9167 targeted
".9167 target met. Nothing yet in the way of .9140 especially with soft EURCHF. However the latter may well stall near to 1.2405/10 area"
Jan 30
Alan Collins posted a blog post

USDCHF - Weak ralllies - .9167 targeted

The gradual decline from this month's top is continuing. The bounce from yesterday's sub .9200 levels was a weak one and, supported by negative momentum, we look for the downside to deepen.Through yesterday's .9193 low should extend to a projected .9167 or even .9140..9245 protects the topside on an hourly closing basis.…See More
Jan 30
Alan Collins posted a blog post

USDTRY - Marabuzo acts as Bullish Platform

The solid demand seen seen last week's low has continued steadily. Some stalling has been seen over the last 2 days but key Marabuzo line at 1.7675 acting as a platform for minimum targets of 1.7765 and 1.7820.Only daily close below 1.7675 alters tone to negative.…See More
Jan 24
Alan Collins posted blog posts
Jan 22
Alan Collins posted a blog post

USDZAR - Now has scope for 8.7000 corrective move

After recovering 76% of the fall from Nov 21st high and rejecting it with an imperfect Shooting Star pattern, the setback has deepened and given a bearish trigger on intraday charts.Scope here for this pullback to reach 8.69/7000 area - 38% correction, perhaps even an overshoot towards 8.6450.…See More
Jan 17
Alan Collins posted a blog post

EURPLN - Marabuzo Platforms towards 4.1455/1545

Last week's 4.0660 low was the 3rd in a series of higher lows that suggest that EURPLN has formed a significant base.As you can see from the chart an important Marabuzo line at 4.0930 protected the topside for a while but since that's been broken subsequent Marabuzo lines are acting as platforms that support setbacks and preparing for the next leg upwards.We're now looking for 4.1200 to protect the downside and build for a test of 4.1455 or even 4.1545.…See More
Jan 16
Alan Collins posted a blog post

CADJPY - Sell signal targets 89.93

The cross clear overbought after 3 positive daily performances in a row. Today, fresh highs have been rejected by profit taking.S/term, indications are that the setback will be deeper with 4 hourly charts giving a sell signal giving potential for 89.93 and 89.56.M/term this will be a great opportunity to buy I feel.See More
Jan 14
Alan Collins commented on Alan Collins's blog post EURCAD - New Bullish Trend Trigger
"1st target met pretty swiftly. 1.3187 next week but am raising stop to entry. Have a great weekend all."
Jan 11
Alan Collins posted blog posts
Jan 11
Alan Collins's blog post was featured

EURCAD - New Bullish Trend Trigger

Yesterday's strong move higher has ended the setback from last month's top.Prices are now back above the 13 day ema that supported the last bull trend so well.There is potential for a dip towards 1.2976, half of yesterday's net gains, but only a daily close below that point would threaten this view.Upside potential to an immediate 1.3116, then 1.3187.…See More
Jan 11

Profile Information

About Myself
I have been a spot/forward/prop trader, Salesperson and Technical Analyst in financial institutions for more than 30 years.
I currently co-own the 2nd independent technical analysis research company I've setup, 3cAnalysis.
Please note that all blogs and comments are for information and education only and not a recommend to trade at any time.
Trading style
Based on hourly charts
Current Broker
none

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Alan Collins's Blog

EURUSD - Momentum Increasing. Legs to 1.3521?

Posted on February 20, 2013 at 8:19am 0 Comments

2 days of indecisive unchanged closes translated into investor buying yesterday. This matched the positive momentum highlighted in yesterday's report.

Net gains were modest but have been continued in Asia to an extent that intraday signals are at overbought extremes.

Nonetheless it is now likely that, temporarily, investors are likely to use setbacks as opportunities and so there is potential for 1.3467 or even 1.3521, last week's top.…

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USDCAD - Buying to continue - Targets 1.0164

Posted on February 19, 2013 at 8:30am 0 Comments

Friday’s strong demand for USDCAD continued yesterday. This 2nd positive daily performance in a row took prices to the most bullish levels traded for 7 months.

Although the highs were not maintained and the market consolidated at overbought extremes, momentum remains positive and it is likely that setbacks will be temporary and limited.

1.0129 and 1.0147 are interim objectives for the market but 1.0164, last July's opening price, is the focus.

 …

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GBPJPY - Continued Demand Targets 148.00/30

Posted on February 12, 2013 at 8:32am 0 Comments

A strong up-move yesterday saw losses from last Friday recovered, with the market moving to almost the high of last week. This has seen an improvement in sentiment, and will encourage investors to remain positive. However, the strong recovery has been partly corrected in overnight trading, and whilst below 148.00, some indecision is likely. In light of this signals are positive with scope for 148.00/30 area.…

Continue

EURGBP - Decline to deepen this week

Posted on February 11, 2013 at 8:30am 0 Comments

Last week saw an end to a sequence of 4 positive weekly performances and a complete change in investor sentiment.

The resulting deterioration was the most aggressive for more than 2 years with the preceding week's entire upside reversed- sold at lower levels on each day. This move emphasised the importance of the failure to test a key 76% recovery point and with prices now hugging the lower end of the Keltner channel we look for a bearish trend to develop.

Allowing for initial…

Continue

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