Additional observations on the AUDJPY Daily for Harmonic Traders: Price is currently at a possible Resistance-Supply Zone. Potentially there are two Harmonic Patterns in play, a Bearish Gartley and a Bearish Butterfly, the Bearish Butterfly has the better fit-confluence of fib ratios.
Just looking at the time it has taken for these formations to setup. Potential Bearish Gartley ~ 11 months. Potential Bearish Butterfly ~ 4months. Will they play out ? ONLY TIME WILL TELL.
James Rolain is watching the Bearish Gartley, and has also found confluence with a weekly trendline.
James Rolain Bearish Gartley. Link Here and Here.
Ian Colman is watching the Bearish Butterfly
Ian Coleman Bearish Butteryfly, Link Here. and Here
Regards
Keith
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Permalink Reply by James Rolain on February 20, 2012 at 11:27am Nice find Keith, Im not very experienced trading butterflys so I missed the pattern all together. I have drawn it up on my own chart now and I 100% agree its a textbook butterfly. It adds another nice level of confluence to my chart setup. I also like how you have used market structure (the first circle) to show that a rapid drop was seen in that area previously, a factor that neither me or Ian listed.
Permalink Reply by Sundaram on February 20, 2012 at 12:02pm There is almost a similar pattern on AUD/USD H8 chart. I think so..
Permalink Reply by James Rolain on February 20, 2012 at 12:13pm Yes sun - they are extremely similar
Permalink Reply by Keith Shaw on February 20, 2012 at 1:27pm AUDJPY, Further observations: there is also a Gartley type confluence on the weekly chart and for those mad about Fibonacci, there is further conflunece when we look at the Fibonacci Fan. Point D of the pattern falls at the 88.6 fan level. Currently the weekly candle in print resembles a spinning top or doji type pattern, indecision or possible trend change ? TIME WILL TELL ...
Permalink Reply by James Rolain on February 20, 2012 at 1:36pm @_@ its beautiful Keith . . .
Permalink Reply by Peter jcp on February 20, 2012 at 1:47pm Purely in the shorter term in would need a fall under 85 45 to start me looking at more short term sells. For more rises i think over 85.75- so being a Monday and US holiday - it might no be going too far in next 3 hours. I really hope I am wrong and during the next few hours we get some movements. Have a good week
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